The coronavirus infections are expected to be far fewer than last winter, when they peaked at nearly 80 million daily in January 2022 due to the Omicron variant, the analysis noted.
Global cases of SARS-CoV-2 are projected to rise at a slower rate to about 18.7 million a day around early February, from 16.7 million currently, mainly due to the northern hemisphere winter, an analysis by University of Washington.
Infections from the new coronavirus are expected to be far fewer than last winter, when they peaked at nearly 80 million per day in January 2022 due to the Omicron variant, the analysis noted.
The increase in cases is not expected to be followed by a corresponding increase in deaths due to COVID-19, estimates the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) of the American university.
It predicts that global daily deaths from the virus will average 2,748 on February 1, up from 1,660 this time. In January, deaths were over 11,000 per day worldwide.
The IHME estimates that daily cases in the U.S. will rise by a third to over a million as students return to classrooms and people gather indoors due to colder weather. .
According to the institute, the outbreak of infections in Germany has already reached its peak. He expects them to have fallen by more than a third by February, to 190,000 a day.
In his analysis, the recent outbreak in Europe’s largest economy may be due to Omicron’s sub-variants BQ.1 and BQ.1.1; it is likely to spread to other European states in the coming weeks.
The rapid increase in hospital admissions in Germany — the largest since the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020 — is cause for concern, according to the same source.
The IHME judges that Omicron’s new XBB sub-variant, which is responsible for the spike in hospital admissions in Singapore, is more contagious but causes a less severe form of COVID-19.
The global impact of XBB is not expected to be too severe, as those already infected with Omicron’s BA.5 subvariant are likely immune, according to the Washington University Institute’s analysis.
RES-EMP
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