PARIS (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected with low increase or downward variations at the start of the session on Monday, investors preparing for different monetary policy decisions all over the world.
According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could yield 0.08% to the opening.
The term contracts report an increase of 0.12% for the Dax in Frankfurt, by 0.18% for the FTSE in London and a drop of 0.11% for the Stoxx 600.
The markets, which are trying to update their scenarios in a still moving world order, are cautious before a multitude of monetary policy decisions during the week.
Investors do not anticipate a change in rate of the American Federal Reserve (Fed), nor the Bank of England (BOE), the Swedish Risbank or the Bank of Japan. The Swiss National Bank should on the contrary reduce its main rate to 0.25%.
“After the ECB’s meeting in early March, the markets will focus on the Fed, Boj and BOE meetings next week. We expect all of them to be pending. For the Fed and BOE, the management to be followed remains clear and we plan two rate decreases of 25 basis by the end of the summer,” summed up in a note published Monday Baader.
The week was also promised geopolitically, Donald Trump having to speak on Tuesday with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin to seek a way out of the war in Ukraine.
In Europe, discussions around the expenses of expenses accelerate with the Bundestag vote on the infrastructure fund of 500 billion and the reform of the debt brake in Germany, the presentation of the European Commission proposals on a common loan of 150 billion euros to support military spending or the meeting in France of private and industrial investors in Bercy.
The markets could also benefit from data published Monday by China reflecting a slowdown in industrial production over the period January-February and an acceleration of sales to detail, activity indicators “overall better than expected” according to Citi analysts.
The values ​​to follow: [L8N3PX1U3]
A Wall Street
The New York Stock Exchange resumed colors on Friday after a week marked by a net decline in the background of questions about the consequences of Donald Trump’s trade policy.
The Dow Jones index gained 674.62 points or 1.65% to 41,488.19 points.
The wider S&P-500 took 117.42 points (+2.13%) at 5,638.94 and the
Nasdaq Composite increased by 451.07 points or 2.61% to 17,754.09.
The technological values, among the most affected in recent days, have displayed one of the strongest sectoral increases. The “Magnifiment 7”, which brings together the seven giants of the sector, have all progressed, even if six of them have been down since the start of the year.
In Asia
The Tokyo Stock Exchange recovered on Monday, carried by the high rise in American shares at the end of last week
The Nikkei index ended up 0.93%.
Chinese scholarships are rather stable on Monday, investors evaluating the series of mixed economic data while waiting for new consumption recovery measures which will be announced later in the day.
The Hong Kong Hang Seng index increased by 0.98%, the SSE Composite of Shanghai was reinforced by 0.21%, the CSI 300 lost 0.22%.
RATE
American returns are rather stable before retail data and the Empire State indicator published on Monday and the Fed monetary policy decision later during the week.
The ten -year -old Treasury yield declines 0.6 bp to 4.3024%, while the two -year -old title yield increased from 0.4 pb to 4.019%.
The yield of the German ten years fell 0.5 pb to 2.869%, that of the rate at two years is stable to 2.187%.
Changes
The US dollar has been evolving close to its lowest level for five months compared to its main peers on Monday under pressure from the erratic trade policies of President Donald Trump and a series of macroeconomic data that is not very encouraging.
The dollar earns 0.05% against a basket of reference currencies, the euro rises from 0.03% to 1.0882 dollars, and the pound sterling firms from 0.02% to 1.2935 dollar.
In Asia, the yen declines 0.21% to 148.93 yen for a dollar, the Australian dollar rises from 0.19% to 0.6335 dollars.
OIL
Oil prices are up after the United States has promised to continue to attack the Yemen Houthis until the group aligned with Iran puts its attacks on maritime transport.
Brent increased from 0.77% to $ 71.12 a barrel, the American light crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) adds to 0.79% to $ 67.71.
Main economic indicators at the agenda of March 17:
Pays GMT indicator previous consensus period
US 12:30 p.m. retail sales February
– over one month +0.6% -0.9%
– over one year – +4.20%
US 12:30 p.m. Empire State March 1.75 5.70
(Written by Bertrand de Meyer, edited by Kate Entringer)
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