by Diana Mandia
PARIS (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected to increase prudent on Monday at the start of a new week in charge of business results and key economic indicators and while uncertainty surrounding the trade policy of the United States does not seem to want to diminish.
According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could gain 0.14 at the opening.
The term contracts report an increase of 0.11% for the Dax in Frankfurt, 0.07% for the FTSE in London and 0.17% for the Stoxx 600.
European scholarships are expected to open up on Monday, positioning themselves for a key week during which investors will learn about the quarterly results of some of the largest world companies, such as Apple and Microsoft, and a deluge of indicators on economic growth and inflation from both sides of the Atlantic.
However, the context remains very volatile while this week marks the first 100 days of the second term of the American president Donald Trump, the tensions on customs duties seeming far from dissipating and that uncertainty, even confusion, persist on negotiations to achieve a commercial de -escalation, especially with China.
While Donald Trump claims that progress is made with Beijing and many other countries, the concrete evidence is missing. The Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said only a few days ago that high customs duties between the United States and China were not viable, did not confirm the assertion of the White House tenant on Sunday that commercial negotiations with China were underway and said he did not know if the American president had been maintained with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.
“Uncertainty itself is at least as prejudicial as customs duties themselves, because it harms the American economy at least as much as to the world,” said Christian Keller, responsible for economic research at Barclays.
On this week’s program, investors will examine the quarterly Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta Platforms, values ​​that experienced a difficult start in 2025, especially after the announcement of massive customs duties by the United States in early April.
On the macroeconomic level, PCE inflation and the employment report in the United States, inflation in the euro zone and the figures for American and German GDP are only some of the indicators likely to animate the week.
The values ​​to follow:
To values, investors will monitor the results of Vivendi and exoseens on Monday, before those of Schneider Electric after-Bourse.
A Wall Street
The New York Stock Exchange continued to regain colors on Friday at the end of business results and de-escalation hopes in the commercial quarrel between the United States and China.
The Dow Jones index won on the session 0.05%, the S&P 500 increased by 0.74%and the Nasdaq Composite advanced by 1.26%.
In Asia
In Tokyo, the Nikkei increased on Monday by 038%on Monday, the values ​​of the automotive sector appearing among the most efficient after Toyota Motor (+4.1%) revealed that it could invest in the provider of Toyota Industries spare parts.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) should also maintain its interest rates unchanged on Thursday and warn against the growing risks that weigh on the economy, the American customs duties continuing to weigh on confidence.
The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its interest rates unchanged on Thursday and warn against the growing risks that weigh on the fragile economy and which could maintain the policy in a waiting position, while American customs duties continue to weigh on trust.
In China, the markets are evolving on Monday on low variations after Beijing is committed on Friday to stabilize the financial markets, but without announcing additional support measures.
The composite index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange is unchanged and the CSI 300 of large capitalizations grabbed 0.02%.
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange takes 0.03%.
Rate / change
The bond markets are slightly decreased on Monday with the hope of appeasement of the trade war and while investors evaluate the possibility that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is oriented towards lower interest rates due to the slowdown in economic activity.
The yield of ten -year -old Treasuries fell by almost 2 base points to 4.2468%. The two -year -old loses 0.2 basic point at 3.7602%.
The exchange market is calm on Monday, investors preparing for a week rich in economic data that could give a first overview of the impact of the American trade war.
The dollar is stable against a basket of reference currencies and the euro grapples 0.12% to 1.1378 dollars.
OIL
Oil prices are growing on Monday, but the increase is contained by commercial uncertainty, which has darkened the prospects for global growth and fuel demand.
Some members of the organization of oil exporting countries and its allies (OPEC+) should also suggest that the group accelerates gross production increases for a second consecutive month at their meeting on May 5.
Brent took 0.39% at 67.13 dollars per barrel and American light crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) 0.43% to 63.29 dollars.
(Written by Diana Mandia, edited by Kate Entringer)
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