Paris (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected with low variations on Monday at the opening before a week in charge of political and geopolitical events.
According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could gain 0.24% at the opening.
The term contracts report a drop of 0.03% for the Dax in Frankfurt and the FTSE in London as well as a revaluation of 0.07% for the Stoxx 600.
A week rich in events begins while investors digest data on Monday morning translating a slowdown in industrial production and retail sales in April in China.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer receives leaders of the European Union on Monday to discuss a new defense agreement with the block and improve post-Brexit trade ties.
US President Donald Trump also announced on Saturday that he would speak on Monday with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, notably about the war in Ukraine to “put an end to the bloodbath” and approach the subject of trade while the United States arrived at a trade agreement with China last week.
At the same time, France holds a summit bringing together more than 200 bosses from around the world which must announce around 35 billion euros in investments in France.
Investors will also be attentive to the economic forecasts for 2025 and 2026 of the European Commission which could revise its growth anticipations downwards.
The president of the European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde estimated at the end of the week that the drop in the dollar, reflecting less confidence in American policies, could benefit the euro.
The victory of the Pro-European centrist candidate in the Romanian presidential election should support this feeling.
At the same time, the Moody’s rating agency lowered the credit note from the United States on Friday evening, relaunching questions around American policies.
More than 35 billion euros in investments in projects in France will be announced on Monday at the 8th “Choose France” summit created by President Emmanuel Macron to attract foreign investments in France, the Elysée announced on Sunday.
A Wall Street
The New York Stock Exchange completed the week on a new increase on Friday, while careful optimism prevails among investors since the truce announced on Monday in the trade war between the United States and China.
The Dow Jones won 331.99 points (+0.78%) at 42,674 points. The S&P 500 has garnered 41.45 points (+0.70%) to 5,958.38 points and the NASDAQ Composite increased from 98.78 points (+0.52%) to 19,211.10.
Over the past week, the Dow Jones won 3.41%, the S&P 500 5.27%and the NASDAQ 7.15%.
In Asia
The Tokyo Stock Exchange lost 0.68% on Monday, the lowering of the Moody’s credit note from the United States aroused concerns about a leak in American assets that strengthen the Yen.
The data published during the session reflecting a slowdown in industrial production and retail sales in April weigh on actions in China and Hong Kong.
The Hong Kong Hang Seng index declines 0.18%, the SSE Composite of Shanghai is reinforced by 0.02%, the CSI 300 decreases by 0.33%.
RATE
American returns are up on Monday after mixed data on the economy published last week and questions around economic policy.
Treasury’s yield at ten years takes 9 pb to 4.5286%, while the two -year title yield increased from 1 bp to 3.9934%.
The yield of German ten years is strengthening from 0.8 pb to 2.595%, that of the rate at two years rises from 0.5 pb to 1.857%.
Changes
The US dollar fell at its lowest level in one week compared to Yen on Monday, the markets digesting the lowering of a notch of the United States credit note on Friday in a context of long-term trade in trade.
The dollar fell 0.28% against a basket of reference currencies, the euro rises from 0.2% to 1.1185 dollars, and the pound sterling is strengthened from 0.19% to 1.3297 dollars.
In Asia, the yen fell 0.31% to 145.17 yen for a dollar, the Australian dollar rises from 0.03% to 0.6402 dollar.
OIL
Oil is slightly down on Monday, investors monitoring the outcome of Iranian and American nuclear negotiations after mixed data published in China.
The Brent fell 0.55% to 65.05 Dollars per barrel, the light American crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) weakens 0.45% to $ 62.21.
(Written by Bertrand de Meyer, edited by Augustin Turpin and Kate Entringer)
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