by Diana Mandia
PARIS (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected to increase on Monday at the opening on Monday, while the customs agreement between the United States and the European Union (EU) announced the day before ends months of uncertainty for the companies of the block and distance the prospect of a large -scale trade war between two partners who represent nearly a third of the world trade.
According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could earn 1.03% at the opening.
The term contracts report an increase of 1.18% for the Dax in Frankfurt, 0.54% for the FTSE in London and 1.15% for the Eurostoxx 50. The Stoxx 600 should open on a gain of 0.78%.
Washington and Brussels concluded a trade agreement on Sunday, establishing customs duties of 15% on most of the 27 Bloc member states, including for the key automotive sectors, pharmaceutical products and semiconductors, which represents an improvement compared to 30% surcharge with which US President Donald Trump threatened the block.
“A major risk has now been excluded,” said Marc Velan, director of investments at Lucerne Asset Management, adding that the markets should interpret the agreement as a sign of return to stability and predictability in commercial policy.
The agreement, which also provides $ 600 billion (511.03 billion euros) of EU investments in the United States, as well as the purchase by the US energy and military equipment block, could in any case be perceived by Europe as a disappointing outcome compared to the initial ambition of an “zero” agreement on industrial goods.
Benjamin Haddad, French Minister Delegate in charge of Europe, said on Monday on the social network X that the agreement was unbalanced, even if he presented certain advantages.
The countries are continuing their efforts to finalize trade agreements before the deadline of August 1 set by the White House.
Negotiations between the United States and China are scheduled for Monday in Stockholm, Sweden, where the world’s first two economies could agree on a new 90-day extension of their talks to reach a sustainable pact after the preliminary framework concluded last June.
Commercial advances are added to a week which promises to be rich in events, with in particular monetary policy meetings of the American Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), the monthly employment report in the United States and a new avalanche of financial results on both sides of the Atlantic.
The values to follow:
A Wall Street
The New York Stock Exchange ended up on Friday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq still displaying closing records.
The Dow Jones index won 0.47%, Standard & Poor’s 500, wider, increased by 0.40%and the Nasdaq Composite advanced by 0.24%.
In Asia
The Japanese Nikkei fell back on Monday (-1%) after its start of session earnings, investors opting for taking profits after a recent rally fueled by the trade agreement between Washington and Tokyo, and turning to future financial results.
In China, scholarships are changing on Monday on low variations, investors awaiting advances in trade negotiations with the United States.
The composite index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange grabbed 0.05% and the CSI 300 of large capitalizations 0.04%.
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange takes 0.4%, helped by gains in the insurance sector.
Rate /change
The yields of American sovereign bonds are slightly increasing on a week -long week in business results on Monday and pending the Fed monetary policy meeting scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday.
The yield of Treasuries at ten years takes 1.4 base points at 4.3998%. That of the two -year obligation earns 1.5 base points at 3.9319%.
On the exchange market, the euro is rather stable (+0.01%) to $ 1.1741, reducing the gains recorded after the announcement of a trade agreement between the United States and the EU.
The dollar grabbed 0.05% against a basket of reference currencies.
OIL
Oil prices are growing after the trade agreement between Washington and Brussels and the prospect of an extension of the customs truce between the United States and China, which soothes fears that an increase in surcharges affects economic activity and limits the demand for fuel.
Brent took 0.64% at 68.88 dollars per barrel and American crude American (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) 0.61% at 65.56 dollars.
No major economic indicator at the July 28 agenda
(Written by Diana Mandia, edited by Augustin Turpin)
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