by Mara Vilcu

PARIS (Reuters) -The main European scholarships are expected up on Monday at the opening, while the French Prime Minister François Bayrou is preparing to engage the responsibility of his government on the issue of debt during a vote of confidence in the National Assembly, the outcome of which will be closely monitored.

According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could gain 0.37% at the opening.

The term contracts report an increase of 0.61% for the Dax in Frankfurt, 0.34% for the FTSE in London and 0.47% for the Stoxx 600.

This Monday, all eyes are turning to the French political situation where Prime Minister, François Bayrou, plays his all in a high-risk vote in the National Assembly, the opposition forces being able to chase away his government in place since January.

The 74 -year -old centrist leader, traveling companion of President Emmanuel Macron whom he helped to enter the Elysée in 2017, will engage the responsibility of his government on the issue of debt in France, greater than 3.300 billion euros, or 114% of gross domestic product (GDP).

Pursuant to article 49, paragraph 1, of the Constitution, the head of government will make from 3:00 p.m. (1:00 p.m. GMT) a declaration of general policy, which will be followed by the voting explanations of each groups of the Bourbon Palais.

The sovereign note of France could undergo a new degradation this week, in the wake of the vote of trust planned today in the National Assembly which should lead to the fall of the government of François Bayrou.

Geopolitically, US President Donald Trump said on Sunday that European leaders would individually make visits to the United States over the next 48 hours to discuss means to end the war between Russia and Ukraine.

Regarding economic data, the figures published on Friday have shown that the American economy has created much fewer jobs than expected in August, which feeds anticipations of a future reduction in the interest rate of the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The question remains whether it will be a decrease of 25 basic points or a considerable drop of 50 base points. The report on inflation in the United States expected Thursday will be a determining element in this debate.

The values ​​to follow: [L8N3US0WB]

A Wall Street

The New York Stock Exchange ended up on Friday after the publication of data showing that employment growth in the United States has decreased sharply in August, concerns about a possible economic slowdown winning it on the hope of falling interest rates.

The Dow Jones index sold 0.48%, or 220.43 points, to 45,400.86 points. The larger Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 20.58 points, or 0.32%, to 6,481.50 points. The Nasdaq Composite fell on its side of 7.31 points, yielding 0.03%, to 21,700.388 points.

In Asia

The Tokyo Stock Exchange increased by 1.45% after the resignation of the Japanese Prime Minister, Shigeru Ishiba, fueled speculations that his successor increases public spending.

Chinese actions are evolving little on Monday, the gains recorded by current consumer goods having compensated for the losses suffered by the values ​​linked to artificial intelligence, investors withdrawing from sectors with strong saturated growth.

In addition, the official data published Monday showed that China exports increased in August at their lowest pace in six months, weighed down by the slowdown in deliveries to the United States while the positive effects of the commercial break between the two countries have faded.

In China, the composite index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange increased by 0.36% and the CSI 300 of large capitalizations advances by 0.15%.

The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is up 0.61%.

RATE

American yields are in small increases on Monday.

The yield of Treasuries at ten years is advancing 1.5 base points at 4.1010%. The two -year -old takes 2.1 base points at 3.5276%.

Changes

The Yen fell on Monday after the announcement of the resignation of Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, while the dollar is up after decreasing following the publication of a disappointing American employment report which strengthened the anticipations of a drop in Fed rates this month.

The yen is exchanged at 147.99 for a dollar (-0.41%).

The dollar earns 0.01% against a basket of reference currencies.

The euro earns 0.02% to 1.1719 dollars.

OIL

Oil prices are growing on Monday, partially compensating for last week’s losses, while the prospect of new sanctions against Russian oil after a night strike on Ukraine has counterbalanced the expected increase in OPEC+production.

The Brent advances from 1.8% to 66.68 dollars per barrel and the American light crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) takes 1.83% at 63.00 dollars.

Main economic indicators at the September 8 agenda:

Pays GMT indicator previous consensus period

From 06:00 industrial production July 1.0% -1.9%

From 06:00 commercial balance July 15.4b 14.9b

EZ 08:30 am index felix September -2.8 -3.7

(Written by Mara Vîlcu, edited by Augustin Turpin)

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