The professor reassessed Istanbul, noting that it is only a matter of time before a major event in the region
Tthe alarm bell for the Istanbul area regarding the extremely possible scenario of a strong earthquake, the professor of Dynamic Tectonics and Applied Geology at the University of Athens, Efthimios Lekkas, struck once again, on the occasion of the recent large earthquake in Japan of 7.6 Richter.
As Mr. Lekkas characteristically said in the First Program, “what we have to take from the Japanese is collectiveness, teamwork, discipline, obedience,
“They are very organized, trained and their mentality is completely different from ours. Therefore, they obey the instructions with stoicism, with determination and whatever they do, they all do it together,” said Mr. Lekkas.
At the same time, the professor made a reassessment of Constantinople, noting that it is only a matter of time before a major event in the region. “For Istanbul, yes, we are expecting some big event. They are the converging opinions of all the country’s scientists. So it’s only a matter of time. The longer it is delayed, the bigger the earthquake will be, that is, the more energy is concentrated. And of course the city has great vulnerability. It has a population of 20 million and now 1/3 of the buildings are very old. A third are new buildings like those of Antiochia and Adana”, he said.
“A total of 8 does not exceed it. It’s around 7.7 or 7.8 if the whole fault breaks. When 20 million are crammed into a relatively narrow space, there are bound to be casualties. Of course, the scenario of the earthquake also depends, that is, if and when it will happen and how it will happen. Let’s hope that the fault will break periodically with smaller earthquakes and we won’t have huge effects in any case, as we had for example in Antioch”, added Mr. Lekkas.
“Certificate of Static Adequacy Required”
Then, referring to the private buildings, he emphasized that “certainly the private buildings should also be inspected. We expect that immediately after the completion of the anti-seismic control in public buildings, some institutional legislative regulation will be made so that this mandatory control can be extended to all the buildings in the country, the private ones, under the responsibility of the owners. Look, it is not possible – when renting or selling an apartment, we ask for the energy certificate and leave out the earthquake certificate. Normally there must be a certificate of static adequacy of the buildings”, he said characteristically.
“Of course it should be borne by the owners. This control will be done gradually. We propose that this control be carried out and of course this will give another value to the buildings and regarding the buildings that should be strengthened or have suffered the wear and tear of time or anything else they should be done based on the institutional framework, i.e. the regulation repairing and restoring the buildings to their anti-seismic adequacy. There are these regulations from the OASP that we have recently issued. Within ’24 we will see the public buildings of the country and then of course we will propose that it also exist for private buildings”, he concluded.
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