Mr Zelentis insists that we are in “pre -earthquake” arguing that everything will depend “on when we will have the main earthquake and its size”
For another night, the intense seismic activity between Amorgos and Santorini continued, with the largest vibrations (4.2 Richter) occurring at 01:02 and at 01:03 in the early morning.
At least 20 more vibrations They occurred until 7:30 on Thursday morning, with lower sizes, between 2-3 Richter.
At the same time, by posting the seismologist Akis Zelentis presents the most optimistic and worse scenario for the development of activity. In the first case is to take an earthquake 6 Richterwhile as a worst case scenario presents the possibility of an earthquake being taken 7 Richter and to activate the Amorgos rift.
Former Director of the Geodynamic Institute also states that in both of these scenarios there will be a tsunami But the effects will be minimal.
In the question of the duration of the earthquakes, Mr. Zelentis insists we are at “prevalence“Arguing that everything will depend” on when we have the main earthquake and its size “.
In detail the questions to which Mr. Zelentis responds to his new post:
“1. What maximum size are we waiting for? As I said from the beginning of the sequence, the optimistic scenario is 6r. In my previous post I explained the mechanism of this great seismicity and its two -way relationship with the Columbus volcano. READ it to understand how this prolonged seismic action is explained.
2. What is the worst case scenario? With a very small chance, it is to activate the Amorgos rift and have an earthquake of 7R.
3. To evacuate the island? Of course not. Even in the great earthquake of 1956 we didn’t have much collapses, the island could stand. Of course, then we didn’t all have what town planning illegalities especially close to the boundaries with the cobblestone with miserable foundations on the unstable hunting land.
4. Will we have a tsunami? Unfortunately with both scenarios we will have. In the worst case, it can “beat” the coastlines of many islands but with advanced geodynamic precautionary systems and relative information to the world separately for all islands (this has not been done) the impact will be minimal.
5. How much will earthquakes keep? This will depend on when we have the main earthquake and its size. Until then, this pre -earthquake action will continue (in Arkalochori a few months) but also when the main earthquake is due to the mechanism that causes it may continue for a while. We will, of course, have a wealthy weakening (not as now) post -seismic sequence. All this shows us that unfortunately we will have an impact on the island’s tourist product for a few more months.
6. If I stayed on the island (the most reasonable) what would I do?
– Except for the faithful application of the measures proposed by the committees. I would apply the known seismic precautionary measures. Yesterday I saw a report from a bar that the bottles were without any elementary precaution, freely on the top shelves. Will the earthquake blame if the bartender eats any bottle with a vodka on the head?
– If my house is old or if there are some obvious (even capillary) discontinuities on the walls, we ask for an engineer to control it.
– If my house is on the eyebrow I would go to stay inland. “
The whole post:
Source: Skai
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