The target to limit the planet’s temperature rise in 1.5 ° C. Compared to the pre -industrial era it is “on the brink of collapse,” warned UN Secretary -General Antonio Guterres. He expressed concern that new national plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in view of the COP30 may not meet the demands of the circumstance. As Mr Guterres said in an interview with the French Agency, “The fact that this goal is on the brink of collapse is an additional reason, at this particular moment, to exert any pressure to ensure more decisive NDCs (nationally defined contributions)”which will be “acceptable”. The climate targets by 2035, included in the nationally defined contributions (NDCs) of the states who signed the Paris Agreement, should have been announced for months. However, geopolitical tensions and trade disputes have slowed the process. With less than two months remaining as the COP30 in Brazil, several countries, including China and the European Union, have not yet presented their new plans, despite the crucial role they are called upon to play in world climate diplomacy. The UN hopes that the forthcoming climate meeting, which will be co -chaired by Antonio Guterres and Brazilian President Luis Inasiou Lula da Silva, will give a new impetus to the negotiations.

“We need countries to come (…) with action plans for the climate completely harmonized with the target of 1.5 ° C, which will cover all their economy and all the gas emissions that cause the greenhouse effect”the UN chief emphasized. Mr. Guterres expressed his reflection on the possibility that the new NDC may not be sufficient, noting “worry” for the possibility of all the effort to present national contributions that will not meet the requirements of the target. At the same time, he stressed that there is no reason to “panic”, but if the NDCs do not meet the needs, ‘It must be exerted as much pressure as possible to correct the fastest’.

Critical achievement of the target of 1.5 ° C.

The restriction of global warming in 1.5 ° C. Compared to the levels of the pre-industrial era (1850-1900) it is the most ambitious objective of the Paris Agreement. However, many scientists estimate that this threshold may be exceeded before the end of the decade, as global oil, gas and carbon consumption remains increased. According to the European Copernicus Observatory, the climate is already on average of 1.4 ° C.E. Experts point out the importance of limiting as much as possible the increase in temperature, as each additional decimal degree intensifies the risks, such as prolonged heatwaves and marine life destruction. The UN Intergovernmental Committee on Climate Change (GIEC) points out that the limit of rising temperatures in 1.5 ° C. And not in the 2 ° C could prevent the most devastating consequences of climate change. According to UN data, in 2024 it was recorded as the warmest year in the years, completing a decade with “record temperatures”.