Erdogan’s next steps and the bet of the NATO summit

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But how many fronts should the Turkish president open in Spain? Analysts say he has already been exposed on the issue of the accession of Finland and Sweden with allies waiting for him around the corner.

By Antonis Anzoletos

To “raise” several meters the European wall opposite Turkish provocation attempted Kyriakos Mitsotakis in the two-day Summit meeting. Following its established tactics, Ankara, during the stay of the Greek Prime Minister in Brussels, continued the challenges with Mevlüt Tsavousoglu to threaten how “Turkey can not be limited to its borders”. THE Tayyip Erdogan has shown that the texts of the conclusions of the European Council do not affect him, however the annoyance was evident from the announcement of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: “It is unacceptable for the EU to try to legitimize the maximalist and illegal positions for the Eastern Mediterranean and the Aegean. In the same way, it is absolutely shameful that the EU remains silent about Greece’s illegal actions that violate international law, including its claim to 10 miles of airspace, the militarization of the islands and repulsive practices. “. In Greece the opposition parties considered that the text of the European Council conclusions was milder than the level of Turkish provocation.

The goal of the Greek side in Brussels was twofold:

– Getting the green light from partners for activation of sanctions towards Turkey if its neighbors continue to recur. Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ message was clear that escalating tensions and questioning the sovereignty of Greek islands could come at a heavy price for Ankara. Another attempt was made to highlight the issue as European, non-bilateral and concerning overall stability in the Eastern Mediterranean.

– To make it clear that the instrumentalization of the Greek-Turkish, as in other previous crises immigration, will not be accepted. The government camp is convinced that Erdogan’s election impasse is leading him to this escalation, so as the prime minister said, “we will not play the game of rhetorical tension.”

The Greek side may claim that it is up to Turkey to end the crisis, but estimates are not very optimistic. Tayyip Erdogan, a year before the polls, continues to be pressured by the opposition, so he is sure that he wants to lead his country to elections in times of crisis. The issue is how far it can go. How much can the rope pull with the US who have invested geostrategically in Greece? Can NATO blackmail drag on in the long run as the war in Ukraine continues? He also can not help but be afraid of the possibility of causing a “banking panic”, as 60% of deposits in Turkish financial institutions are said to be in dollars. If he really is looking for an easy victory to sell to his people, it is estimated that in the end he will turn to the Syrian front. It will just show that it is spreading its nets everywhere.

The stance of the North Atlantic Alliance will be seen at the Madrid Summit next week. Kyriakos Mitsotakis with the draft of the EU conclusions fresh in his hands. has filled its arsenal. From the moment it is put issue of demilitarization of the islands by Tayyip Erdogan, the Prime Minister stated from Brussels that “The appropriate answers will be given in the strictest way.” But how many fronts should the Turkish president open in Spain? Analysts say he has already been exposed on the issue of the accession of Finland and Sweden with allies waiting for him around the corner. The next pressure levers he can use against Greece will be his work drilling rig in the Eastern Mediterraneanhas announced them for July 15, but also the immigration.

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