By Antonis Anzoletou

A month after the crash in Tempe the government is showing a resilience and a tendency to recover after the deterioration recorded in the first polling wave. The “repatriation” of disappointed voters is the primary goal of Kyriakos Mitsotakis, as it is the necessary and necessary condition for self-reliance in the second elections not to be removed. Pulse on voting intention with a reduction in the valid shows New Democracy gaining one unit compared to mid-March (31%). It recovers about 1/3 of its losses. THE SYRIZA it remains at the same levels (26%) with the party of Alexis Tsipras not seeming to be gaining anything on the way to the polls and the difference opening slightly to 5 points. The answers regarding the criterion by which the citizens will be asked to vote are indicative and very useful. In the first place is the social policy (88%), in the second the economy (86%) and in the last the railway accident (69%). Has the people’s anger about Tempe died down a bit? It is normal, but obviously the train accident is involved in other safety-based issues of concern to the world.

The undecided are the “quicksand” of the political scene and from 13% that appeared about 15 days ago they have now fallen to 11.5%. The parties are fighting the battle of rallying their forces and as we get closer to the polls the numbers will be the guide for the margins they have to increase their forces. The priorities are different. Based on all the polls in the ruling party they are not discussing the primacy in simple proportional. The goal is to get the percentage as close as possible to the 38% required by enhanced analog. For SYRIZA, there is no second round of elections and in Koumoundourou, optimists appear to make up the difference and win. In any case, based on 31.5% of 2019, they wish, even if they “go astray”, on May 21, to be within breathing distance of the New Republic. However, the indicator of the victory performance is overwhelmingly in favor of the blue faction, as reflected in Pulse (ND 52% – SYRIZA 28%), in Herodos Attikou believe that the party is within its goals.

As far as PASOK is concerned, the strong double-digit percentage desired by Nikos Androulakis is not visible from this specific measurement. It remains at 10% with Harilaou Trikoupi trying to penetrate the pie of undecided voters who have either left New Democracy forever or have not had a “political home” for a long time. Epimythium: the battle of the center will once again be fierce. In the equation, it must be taken into account that according to the voting intention of the poll, all the smaller parties enter the Parliament. The possibility that the new Plenary Assembly will be six-party is the most likely. Or seven-party if the “Greeks” party gets the green light from the Areopagus. In the second case, the possibility of forming a coalition government from the first ballot is significantly reduced. Everything will be shaped according to how the gray zone will move, as the possibility that undecided citizens will prefer the smaller parties in their majority changes the facts completely.

If one of the dilemmas of the ballot box is the governance model, the self-reliance favored by New Democracy still prevails with a percentage of 38%. Wherever it comes from. Partnerships follow with 30%, showing that Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ argument for stable single-party majorities still has a greater response in society. Of great interest is the question in relation to the repeated electoral contests. 22% want all efforts to form a government, 36% do not say no to elections and 33% prefer polls to be held as soon as possible. Who will take responsibility for the second elections essentially asks 1/3 of the respondents, while the percentage of those who immediately want a second round has clearly to do with the party preference of the citizens and those who support the blue faction in the formation of an independent government from the second ballots .

In the question regarding “suitability for prime minister” Kyriakos Mitsotakis (36%) and Alexis Tsipras (25%) have no changes and maintain the same percentages as those of their parties. The 11% who prefer Nikos Androulakis come from those who in the past chose “Mr. Nobody”. And what remains to be assessed in the next period until the polls is to what extent the “veto” that the president of PASOK has placed on the leaders of New Democracy and PASOK for the prime ministership he gives points to Mr. Androulakis. From the first sample it seems that there is definitely no damage.