The last one, before the European elections of 2024, nationwide measurement of electoral behavior by Pro rata records some marginal changes in the influence of the parties and above all a high degree of fluidity of the electorate’s choices.

In terms of the relative extents of parties’ current electoral influence, Prorata estimates that:

-the SW ranges between 29.5% and 35.3%
-The SYRIZA-PS from 11.6% to 15.8%
-the PASOK-KINAL from 11.1% to 15.3%
-the KKE from 7.5% to 11.1%
-the Greek solution from 7.5% to 11.1%
-the Win from 2.6% to 5%
-the Freedom Sailing from 3.1% to 5.7%
-the New Left from 2.6% to 5%
-the MeRA25 from 1.8% to 3.8%

-the Voice of Reason from 1.8% to 3.8%
-The World from 0.9% to 2.5%
-and the other parties from 1.8% to 3.8%

Based on the above limits, the central value of the estimate for New Democracy is 32.4%, for SYRIZA-PS 13.7%, for PASOK-KINAL 13.2%, KKE and Hellenic Solution 9.3%, Niki 3.8%, New Left 3.8%, MeRA25 and Voice of Reason 2.8%, while Kosmos 1.7%.

The firm notes that the findings demonstrate currently extremely high uncertainty regarding two key elements of the electoral competition:

-which and how many parties will achieve their representation in the next European Parliament, since the estimation ranges for four parties (Niki, New Left, MeRA25 and Voice of Reason) extend above and below the necessary but not sufficient limit of 3%

-occupying the 2nd place, since the ranges of assessment of SYRIZA-PS and PASOK-KINAL overlap to an extremely large extent