Second or third and “sweaty” are expected to emerge on European elections the parties of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron.

According to the average of the polls held by the Politicoin France, the far-right National Rally predicted to extract the 33% of the popular vote, putting party leader Marine Le Pen in a position of power for the next presidential election, scheduled for 2027.

The centrist coalition in which his party participates Macron it is at 15%steadily declining recently, and is now threatened by the Socialists, who have been on the rise for about four months and are at 14%.

The same picture emerges from a recent major poll by the IPSOS institute, in collaboration with the Montaigne institute, the Jean Jaurès foundation and the newspaper “Le Monde”.

If the margin of statistical error is taken into account, the National Coalition of Lepen estimated to take between 31.8 and 34.2%which means that even at its worst performance it has a lead of 14.8 points over the best percentage of Macron’s centrist alliance (15-17%).

In Germany, the weakening of the far-right AfD after a series of scandals, including the front-runner’s statement on his European ballot that Nazi SS men “were not all criminals”, has given hope to Social Democrats (SPD) of Soltz that they will be able to climb into second place.

According to the “Super Poll” published on Wednesday by Euronews, the Christian Democrats and Christian Socialists (CDU/CSU) will comfortably win the first place, with a rate of just over 30%, the AfD follows with 16.3% while the SPD it is at 15.1%.

However, it is interesting that the Social Democrats are struggling to develop pre-election momentum and have stagnated in the polls, between 15 and 16%, but the recent decline of the AfD has narrowed the gap between the two factions.

The other two members of the three-party government coalition are expected to suffer heavy losses in relation to the 2019 European elections.

The Greenswho five years ago had won the second place by exceeding 20%, are currently polling below 14%while the Liberals predicted to fall below the 5%.