By Antonis Anzoletos
The one hand of the clock on France points to progress and the other to maintenance. The dilemma was posed by Kyriakos Mitsotakis at a pre-conference meeting of the N.D., making it clear that new dividing lines will be entered immediately after the electoral battle in Paris. The vast majority of Greek parliamentary parties expressed their concern over the rise of Le Pen. The final results are eagerly awaited almost a year before the Greek polls. Melanson would really like SYRIZA to pass to the second round and for that they did not leave unoccupied the fact that it came very close to the “dream”. The changes are tectonic and complementary to the economic crisis of the last decade, the pandemic and of course the war in Ukraine have now had a negative effect. In recent years the left in many southern countries such as Spain, Portugal and Greece have significantly increased their forces, albeit with fluctuations. In France, the rise of Melanson’s radical left stood out, while at the same time center-right and the socialists who have starred in the political scene since the beginning of the Fifth French Republic have vanished. The ambush of the patriotic right – which had nothing to do with the far right – took place in 2007 under Sarkozy. In any case, the “old historic walls” have fallen.
In these presidential ballots the game is played differently compared to 2017. Marin Lepen has broken the entrenchment belt that the far right had and can now address different audiences. Her relationship with him Vladimir Putin and her visit to the Kremlin in 2017 comes to the fore again. It can be considered anti-systemic that last Sunday in France the supporters of Le Pen, Zemour and Melanson voted – from the bloc of the “biggest”. Total; 52% of the citizens who went to the polls.
The leader of the left can gave a “red light” to Le Pen, however polls do not show that it has the power to control the impressive 22% it recorded. Divided into three, most (44%) will choose Macron, others the leader of the far right and possibly the younger ones (about 30%) will prefer not to go to the polls. So far no one was able to send in the perfect solution, which is not strange. And the “anti-Macron” front, which caused a confusing image shortly before the first ballots, is causing concern. The “party of abstention”, which also triumphed in the first round, must be included in the equation. What is certain is that both contenders for power are looking to the left.
Myth: The feeling of self-preservation of the French people is expected – according to analysts – to bring Emanuel Macron back in the presidency, however the 66% – 34% walk of 2017 is very difficult to repeat. After all, the five years that have passed since the yellow vests, the pension and recently the accuracy have changed things, as the deep social soul of France has been ignored.
Le Pen and Europe
Europe’s eyes are on the elections on April 24 for the simple reason that a possible election of Marin Le Pen will automatically put a brake on the deepening of the EU. At the same time, the old continent will be left without a natural leader who emphasizes geopolitics (as opposed to Germany, which proposes fiscal ones) and is a stable ally of Greece in a very fragile region such as the Eastern Mediterranean.
In 2002, Lepen’s father’s second-round dethronement of socialist Lionel Jospin caused a political earthquake. Now the leader of the “National Rally”, with a more moderate attitude, passes for the second time to the next round and together with Orban signal to her like-minded people to ride the wave of Euroscepticism again. The new political geography in France hides the danger of a political recovery of the most extreme voices who want national law to be superior to European.
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