The asteroid “2024 YR4” returns to the forefront. This asteroid described as a “city killer” may no longer be in a conflict orbit of the Earth, but NASA has increased its chances of hitting the Moon in just 7 years. According to the Space Agency, there is now a 4.3% chance that the “2024 YR4” will clash with the Moon on December 22, 2032.
A new observation from @Nasawbbbb of Asteroid 2024 YR4 has improved our knowused of where the asteroid will be on dec. 22, 2032 by Nearly 20%, Thus Raising the Chance of a Lunar Impact to 4.3%. 2024 YR4 IS NOW TOO FAR TO OBSERVE UNTIL 2028. Https://t.co/ivzkgB0GFC pic.twitter.com/n9i13tdg2p
– Nasa Asteroid Watch (@asteroidwatch) JUNE 6, 2025
The Impact Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4 has Dropped to 0.004%. It’s Expected to Safely Pass Earth in 2032.
Read the Full Update: https://t.co/wirnwv6fye pic.twitter.com/akxma5evot
– nasa (@nasa) February 24, 2025
The incident of the impact could be visible from the Earth as a bright light glow, as lunar material is launched in space, according to the Daily Mail.
The “2024 YR4”, discovered just at the end of last year, has a diameter of between 174 and 220 feet (53 and 67 meters) – about the same size as a Boeing 747.
What if such an asteroid was hitting the earth?
If the space rock beating the Earth, it would create an explosion equivalent to the firing of 7.7 megatons TNT and leave a 3,000 -foot wide crater on the ground according to the Daily Mail.
The shock wave emitted by the impact would destroy an area to the size of a large city, so it has been described as a “murderer of the city”.
Fortunately, the likelihood of hitting the Earth is essentially zero, but NASA’s new observations increase the likelihood of hitting the moon.
The new chances are slightly increased by the previous probability of 3.8% for a 2024 YR4 conflict with the Moon, according to NASA.
NASA is based on observations by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), which is about 1 million miles away from us.
The asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently located in a broad “elliptical” (not perfect circular) orbit around the sun, removing it even more from us. Expected to be visible again for observation in 2028
Source :Skai
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