In the headline of the French Le Journal du Dimanche, “Lula can win this election in the first round”, highlighted by an extensive interview with political scientist Gaspard Estrada, from Sciences Po in Paris.
The doubt about the first round led the British The Economist to set up a “research survey” focused on Brazil and updated almost daily, with new surveys. In the permanent title, “How close is the race between Bolsonaro and Lula?”.
Thursday’s Datafolha had immediate repercussions, via the Reuters agency, with the statement “Lula slightly increases his advantage over Bolsonaro before the first round in Brazil” (below).
Bloomberg is also attentive, including banknotes. On Thursday, he published the report “Election will probably have second round, says Goldman Sachs.” But, he quickly added, “Lula’s victory in the first round is not impossible.”
In any case, the almost daily scrutiny continues on what would be done with the economy in a new Lula government. Reuters dispatched, for example, that he “expects to reach a trade agreement with the European Union in six months”, so he spoke to Canal Rural.
And the Economist asked itself, based on an interview with him and with economists such as Bernard Appy and Monica de Bolle, “How leftist in economics is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva?”. Did not answer.
BRAZIL WILL NOT LEAVE HARMLESS
The Financial Times reports that, although it got ahead of the American central bank in raising interest rates, Brazil should not escape the “side effect” of the surge in the US, now. “The Fed’s delay in keeping inflation under control is unlikely to leave the South American country — or anywhere — unscathed.”
Inflation is being “exported to trading partners” from the US, with the appreciation of the dollar triggering a “reverse currency war” and threatening a “debt crisis similar to the early 1980s”.
The FT, now Japanese-owned, led the headline that “Japan steps in to bolster yen as reverse currency war deepens”, citing actions from Switzerland to South Africa. It was the first intervention in defense of the Japanese currency “in 24 years”.
The World Bank’s chief economist warns the newspaper that “emerging countries are particularly vulnerable” and that “many low-income countries could be in danger due to debt”.
TRUMP IS COMING
The New York Times and Politico (above) report that the actions against Donald Trump have not shaken him in the polls and even “consolidate” his support in the Republican Party.
And one of Meta’s main executives, Nick Clegg, declared at an event that the former president could return to facebook in januaryadding that the platform does not want to become “the greatest industrial-scale censor of all time, in human history”.
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