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Brazil: Lula’s lead shrinks ahead of 2nd round of presidential election

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According to a poll by the Datafolha reporting institute, Lula has 49% of voting intentions, compared to 45% for Mr Bolsonaro. The former union leader’s lead was 5 points (49-44%) in the Institute’s previous poll, released five days ago.

With a week or so to go until the second round of Brazil’s presidential election — on October 30 — center-left former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s lead over outgoing far-right head of state Jair Bolsonaro has narrowed to 4 percentage points, leaving to be understood that it can even be zeroed out, indicates a survey of the reference institute Datafolha that was made public yesterday Wednesday.

According to this survey, Lula gathers 49% of voting intentions, against 45% of Mr. Bolsonaro. The former union leader’s lead was 5 points (49-44%) in the previous poll by the Datafolia institute, released five days ago.

The margin of statistical error of the survey is ±2%, which means that the far-right president cannot be ruled out as having equaled his predecessor (at 47%).

According to the institute’s findings, 94% of Brazilians have already decided who they will vote for, so the percentage of undecideds that the two rivals are trying to convince by continuing their intensive campaigns is now small.

It is the first poll released since Sunday’s televised debate, in which the far-right president hammered his predecessor over corruption cases during his Workers’ Party (PT) days in power.

The Datafolia poll was conducted from October 17 to 19 among a representative sample of 2,912 voters across the country.

RES-EMP

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