“Another obstacle to peace is whether or not the Kremlin wants it. The Russians win on the battlefield – not lightning but they occupy territories. ”
As an object rising to the surface, but still remains under water, the first bones of a peace plan for Ukraine begin to form. Despite the relative silence in the announcements about this war by an otherwise loyal Trump government, traces of a roadmap may be publicly public. Whether there will be a response from the Kremlin still remains unclear, the CNN comments.
Last week, US President Donald Trump officially appointed 80 -year -old retired General Keith Kogg as his special envoy to Ukraine and Russia. Almost the first thing that Klogk did was to announce that he would discuss their common vision of peace in Ukraine with the allies at the Munich Security Conference on February 14-16. Then, four days later, he will visit Kiev for his first, long -awaited trip there, according to Ukraine state media.
Each word of Klogo is analyzed by a restless Kyiv. He responded to the proposals that the Munich Conference would publicly reveal the outline of a peace plan, saying to Newsmax: “The person who will present the peace plan is the president of the United States, not Keith Kloge.” Trump will make the great revelation, It seems that after Kloge’s consultations with the allies in Germany.
Trump tried to start the process, as it seems in recent days, telling the New York Post on Saturday that he had spoken to his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin about ending the war, but did not provide details. The Kremlin refused to confirm this phone call, but spokesman Dmitry Peskov told CNN: “There may be something I don’t know.”
You may expect a complicated diplomatic agreement to end the biggest war in Europe since the 1940s. On the contrary, at least publicly, in the “diplomatic karaoke”, “players” are hard to do.
Trump has unexpectedly expressed the need to end the conflict, but he does not cut ideas on the table. He supported the idea of meeting Ukraine President Volodimir Zelenski this week. However, there is no date set, and Trump’s comments looked like an impulsive answer to a question about whether his ambitious Vice President Jay Di Vance would meet Zelenski in Munich. In fact, we do not know how much is happening behind the cameras. The Kremlin implied “intensified” discussions and US National Security Advisor Mike Valts spoke of private efforts.
Paradoxically, Kloge’s plan for peace has been made public by April. In short, it is foreseen that Ukraine will receive more military assistance on the condition of negotiations, and a ceasefire, probably followed by growth European peacekeeping along the first line.
Kloge has also implied that an initial ceasefire can mean the Time for elections in Ukraineif a truce can be achieved. A supposed timetable for any agreement appeared in the Ukrainian media this week, proposing a ceasefire around Easter, in late April, a peace conference and a wider agreement in May, and presidential elections for the country in August. This information was categorically rejected as false by the Ukrainian Presidency. But leaks, whether falsified or not, will continue to come to the surface, as all sides try to cut or reject ideas.
The call for elections is hard not to interpret as a way to Zelenski gradually sidelined And maybe it is the “cheese” to sit on the table the Kremlin. The hostility of the Ukrainian leader against Putin is insurmountable, as the Russian invasion has destroyed extensive Ukraine areas and the Russian president is said to have committed war crimes against its citizens. Zelenski and the US president also had a difficult relationship during his first term because of Trump’s demand to investigate the Biden family for scandals in Ukraine.
Zelenski is now entering a new phase, where both of the most powerful voices in any peace agreement do not They share admiration which he has enjoyed in the West for three years.
The debate on the elections has triggered uncontrollable speculations in Kyiv For the future of Zelenski. He has given long interviews last week, occasionally appearing angry and anxious that Ukraine may not be at the center of any conversations. On Thursday he was “sure” that there was no official peace plan “still”. And he added: “What exists in some publications, again, I’m sure, maybe I’m wrong, but I’m sure this is not an official plan by President Trump.” His senior executives have spoken with Kogg and Valts in recent days, as they said. But Zelenski is no longer an “unparalleled figure”. In some polls in the context of future presidential elections in Ukraine, Valerie Zalouzni, the military leader who was carried by Zelenski last year, are ahead. Zalouzni is a Ukrainian ambassador to the United Kingdom and was recently photographed with British Foreign Minister David Lamy in Kiev.
The elections in Ukraine are currently delayed as part of the military law, with a valid argument that the country – under constant bombings, with millions of its people in war or refugees abroad as it faces an aggressive neighbor who has been involved in two – It cannot have free and fair elections until there is peace. But an initial ceasefire could offer this tranquility, even an opportunity for Zelenski to back and give a chance to a new person, without the “difficult” history of the current Ukraine leader with the first term. of Trump, to negotiate a broader agreement. In the scenario of a Not so perfect settlement with Moscow, Zaluzni could keep the Ukrainian armed forces united.
But many could go too wrong. The electoral chaos can cause an incomplete or controversial outcome. More pro -Russian feeling can be manifested on the ballot paper, through hacking or other illegal methods. The threat of corruption investigations makes many officials worry about their fate. It is precisely the ugly uncertain situation you would expect in times of war, and the reason the elections could be very complicated.
On the other hand, Zelenski is likened to a modern Winston Churchill, providing the West the guts he did not know he needed. It would be in line with the unpredictable and outrageous fluctuations of the war to set aside as Ukraine would be more vulnerable than ever.
Another obstacle to peace is whether the Kremlin wants it or not. At the moment Russians win on the battlefield – Not lightning, but they occupy territories. The Russian forces seem to have occupied the city of Toretsk and may soon occupy Pokrovsk, deeper in the Donetsk area of Ukraine. This would also leave them relatively open to the major cities of Dnipro and Zaporizia. It is not clear why Russia will seek to freeze its progress at the forefront when Ukraine, in the words of a first -line soldier in CNN, “It doesn’t have much to say about it.”
This week we will see fragments of the famous, impulsive or not, plan for peace emerging in the public sphere. Each “color” will affect the lives of millions of Ukrainians and dictate security in Europe for decades. Even Taiwan will be safer if Russia is not encouraged. As the silhouette of a drawing drifts to the surface, everyone can only hope for its seriousness.
Source :Skai
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