THE Friedrich Mertz He won in the elections, but did not win Angela Merkel, he concludes CNN in his analysis of the new political landscape as formed in Germany.

The Christian Democratic Union (CDU), and its Bavarian Christian Social Union (CSU), secured a clear victory on Sunday. With predictions predicting that CDU/CSU secures 28.5% of votes, the party is preceded by a sufficient difference from the second far -right Afdwhich is expected to secure 20.6%, and the SPD which came third with 16.5% (prognosis 23:43).

But there may be some who will be disappointed with the result, which is much lower than the party’s performance under the leadership of his former long -term leader and
German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

On the emblematic, but after the war in Ukraine, Merkel’s controversial power, the party never fell under the “psychological barrier” of 30%, securing up to 41.5% of the vote in the 2013 elections.

As Deutsche Welle pointed out, the “Chancellor In Waiting” needs at least 30% of the vote. Or better yet, 30% plus something. And this, for two very serious and meaningful reasons.

The first reason is that “30% plus something” has always been the “hard core” of the Christian Union (CDU/CSU). Even in the difficult 2009 elections, in the midst of a financial crisis and with analysts talking about the “Italianization” of the political scene, Angela Merkel had managed to re -elected Chancellor with 33.8%. It may have been the worst percentage of Christian Democrats since 1949, but it turned out enough to form a coalition government with the Liberal Party (FDP).

The second reason For which Mertz is anxious for the “magic 30%” that with such a percentage it would probably need only one government partner in the next four years. He said clearly in a recent television debate: “My strategic goal is to have at least two options open, but in the end we need only one. Either the Social Democrats or the Greens. ” A more likely scenario is a new edition, after the Merkel era, of the “Great Coalition” with the Social Democrats (SPD).

Although in Germany there is no question of government or volatility, unlike other times, this time everyone recognizes the pressure of Berlin to have as soon as possible fully functional leadership, as the need for decisions is so imperative because of the prolonged. Recession and turmoil in immigration, as well as foreign policy, under the unprecedented conditions created by the Trump government in the US.