By Antonis Anzoletos
Those who had predicted or even worse bet that French elections they will not have saspens fell out. There are many analysts who claim that Macron he underestimated his opponents, showed arrogance lately and dealt with the image of the leader that all heads of state want to have as their interlocutor. So everyday life was left behind or when he dealt with it, announcing an increase in retirement limits from 62 to 65, he simply irritated the French. The increases in basic goods and energy were a shot in the arm. Result; Europe after re-election Orban to hold her breath again watching the far right wing of Le Pen (23-24%) and Zemour (9%) gather a percentage close to 33%, much higher than the patient and uncertain 26.5% of the current president.
THE Thanasis DiamantopoulosEmeritus Professor of Political Science analyzed speaking on his radio the main reason that the 53-year-old Marin Lepen records this small but significant increase. “The war in Ukraine is affecting the French elections in a different way,” he said. “And that is where Lepen speculates, playing with the weaknesses of democracy.” He typically added that “he has appeared with the slogan” do you want to be hungry? Do you want expensive prices? Do you want to have a food problem and not have fuel to warm up? Then follow Macron in the policy of sanctions. ready to compromise. “
“It does not speak directly of pro-Putinism, but of repealing or reducing sanctions on Russia.” And in this direction another fact helps her a lot.
THE Eric Zemour which according to many wants to become the “French Trump” (but deflated quickly) may get her some votes, but it is essentially the “demonization of Lepenism”. Especially when she herself has openly disagreed with many of his positions.
In this election game once again he is trying to get a wedge 70-year-old Zal-Lick Melanson representing the fragmented left. It shows an upward trend in its percentages (16% – 17%) however it gives a difficult road race to overtake Lepen. A supporter of the demonstrations of the yellow vests hopes that in his third attempt he will manage to pass to the next round.
Most likely, however, this will not happen and Marin Lepen will face Emanuel Macron on Greek Easter (April 24) having, in fact, more reserves. Apart from the votes of Valerie Pecres, Sarkozy’s former minister, in which she is likely to count the anti-systemic bloc that rejects the European orientation, it is not excluded that she will agree with her regardless of geographical political position.
The tanks of Emanuel Macron by the Green Yannick Zando and the socialist former mayor of Paris Ann Indalgo are clearly more limited, as they move in shallow water. According to the latest polls, however, he is still the most dominant president – by a very small margin now – as at the last minute the fear of the next day and logic are estimated to prevail in the conscience of the French.
However, the walk of 2017 (66% – 34%) is not going to be repeated. An unbalanced factor as always is the abstention – which may be bigger than ever – but also the undecided. The unorthodox European environment is complemented by the far-right parties of our western neighbors, with Georgia Meloni’s “Brothers of Italy” and Matteo Salvini’s “League of the North” leading the polls.
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