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A breath before the victory Macron – The first president to be re-elected since the time of Chirac

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As Emmanuel Macron exercised his right to vote in the French northern seaside town of Le Touquet, accompanied by Brigitte’s wife, his staff put the finishing touches on the speech he will deliver later tonight, to announce – in all likelihood – the renewal of his term at the Palace of the Elysium.

Immediately after the ballot, Macron thanked all those who are working today in the crucial elections: “To the thousands of French people who are facilitating the vote today: Thank you. “In the polling stations in our cities and villages, you are the beating heart of our democracy,” he wrote on Twitter.

If, as it turns out, Macron is re-elected, then he will achieve something that has not happened in 20 years, when in 2002 Jacques Chirac was re-elected, defeating Marin Le Pen’s father, Jean-Marie Le Pen.

The far right Marin Lepen she also voted in northern France, specifically in Hénin-Beaumont. He stated that he was “calm” and that he had “confidence in the French”.

Where Lepen leads

The first results from some overseas acquisitions of France give Le Pen the lead.

In Martinique the far-right candidate leads with 60.9% against 39.1% of Macron, in Guadeloupe with 69.6% against 30.4% of the French president and in French Guiana with 60.7% against 39.3% of Le Pen.

The abstention

The turnout in the second round of the French presidential elections today amounted to 63.23% at 17.00 in the afternoon (18.00 Greek time) according to data announced by the Ministry of Interior.

In the previous elections, in 2017, at the same time the turnout was 65.30%. The data confirm the trend predicted by the polls, that is, this year the turnout of voters will be lower.

Voting started at 8 am local time and will end at 8 pm local time (21.00 Greek time), when the first predictions for the result are expected.

Analysts say a low turnout adds to the uncertainty surrounding the end result.

O Emanuel Macron preceded in the first round of the elections on April 10 with 27.8%. The current pro-European president aims to become the first president to be re-elected since Jacques Chirac in 2002.

Respectively, his opponent, far right Marin Lepengarnered 23.1% of the vote in the first round and hopes to become the first woman in France to take over the presidency, as it is the third time she has run.

About 48.7 million are registered to votealthough pollsters have warned that turnout may be lower than in the first round when one in four abstained.

However, because the French traditionally do not go to the polls in the morning, Estimates for attendance will be secure in the afternoon. The 45-year-old leader of “En Marche!” Wants to win the bet of the undecided! without this being an easy affair. He has a five year behind him, from which the small and middle class has many complaints. Macron managed to turn the game around in the second round, as he became more involved with the daily life of the citizens. The purchasing power of the French has fallen sharply and this has angered society. That’s why no one in Paris is talking about repeating it “election campaign “ which he had done in the second round in 2017 with 66.1%.

Macron’s strong support in recent days from top leaders has shown that Europe is concerned about an “accident”. It was not uncommon in a national presidential election for three socialist European leaders to jointly speak at Le Monde: German Olaf Solz, Spain’s Pedro Sanchez and Portugal’s Antonio Costa. The last thing the EU needs right now is a “slap” from France that would cause a lot of upheaval. It’s certain the interpretation of a possible predominance of the far right candidate would be given on the basis of the accumulated discomfort which exists from many issues handled by Brussels in recent years. Even if the Recovery Fund or the Ukrainian showed that the Commission’s reflexes are constantly improving.

BVA’s latest weekly survey gives to Emanuel Macron an 11-point lead. It records a percentage of 55.5% against 44.5% of Marin Lepen. Its voters “Unruly France“, By Jean-Luc Melanson, it seems that about 35% -40% will go to the polls to support Macron. More than 40% will prefer abstention, while Lepen is expected to move in the 15% zone in terms of voters in the third round of the first round. This bridge between the left and the extreme right can be interpreted in various ways. This is an anti-systemic vote that had taken refuge in Melanson and it is not so easy to decipher its characteristics. From “Yellow VestsTo some vaccinators or even pro-Russians who have not found their own political home.

From the moment there will be a result the French Constitutional Council has up to 10 days to announce the official final verdict of the ballot box. All this time is not expected to run out.

When will we have the first picture of the results

The polls opened at 8 a.m. local time and will close at 8 pm, (21:00 Greece), when the initial forecasts of the result will be announced.

Macron, 44, who prevailed over Le Pen with an impressive 66% in the last presidential election five years ago, has warned of a “civil war” if Le Pen is elected, whose policies include banning the Muslim headscarf in public and calling on Democrats all of the political spectrum to support him.

The parliamentary elections in June

The first big challenge for the current winner will be to win the June parliamentary elections to secure a working majority to implement his program.

Turnout is traditionally lower in parliamentary elections, which are also held every five years. Voters tend to elect members of parliament who come from the same political family as the president they just elected.

However, if Macron wins, as predicted, it could prove more difficult to have an absolute majority in the National Assembly compared to 2017, as his possible victory is expected to be much more limited than five years ago.

In the meantime, it will have to forge alliances with powerful domestic rivals, such as former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe, who is seeking to expand his own political movement – called Horizons.

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