The Bolsa Família program and the Health and Education actions will be the most contemplated in the distribution of extra resources in the 2023 Budget. fair (12), incorporating the additional R$ 145 billion authorized in the PEC (proposed amendment to the Constitution) of the Transition.
The Ministry of Citizenship, which may change its name in the future government, will be recomposed by BRL 75 billion — of which BRL 70 billion will be allocated to maintaining the minimum benefit of BRL 600 from Bolsa Família and an additional BRL 150 per child up to six years old. The other R$ 5 billion will finance other portfolio actions.
The report is still being prepared and may undergo adjustments by the end of the day. The forecast of the parliamentarian is that the project can be voted on Thursday (15) in the CMO (Mixed Budget Committee) of Congress, and, the following week, go to plenary.
Even if included in the budget proposal, the execution of additional expenses will be subject to the approval of the PEC. The text was endorsed by senators last week, but still needs to go through two rounds of voting in the Chamber of Deputies.
The values were discussed in a meeting on Sunday (11) with the participation of the president-elect, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), and the vice-president-elect, Geraldo Alckmin (PSB).
Future ministers Fernando Haddad (Finance) and Rui Costa (Casa Civil), former minister Aloizio Mercadante, PT national president, Gleisi Hoffmann, and senator-elect Wellington Dias (PT-PI) also attended the meeting.
In second place appears Health, with a value of R$ 22.7 billion, confirmed by the rapporteur to the press on Sunday (11).
Education would initially have around BRL 11.2 billion, but the value was updated to BRL 10.9 billion in more recent negotiations.
One of the bets of the new government to leverage works and reduce the housing deficit, the Minha Casa, Minha Vida program, should be with an additional R$ 9.5 billion.
For the real increase in the minimum wage, a promise boasted by Lula during the presidential campaign, around R$ 6.8 billion will be needed.
The Dnit (National Department of Transport Infrastructure) should receive an increase of almost R$ 11 billion, and the Science and Technology portfolio, R$ 5 billion. Around R$ 4 billion are estimated for Culture and 800 million for Justice and Public Security.
The Ministry of Defense, in turn, should receive another R$ 1 billion. The value was initially R$ 500 million, but there was an increase in the amount in the most recent negotiations.
There is also a forecast of R$ 1 billion for guarantee funds, which should be directed to Desenrola, a debt renegotiation program for low-income families that is Lula’s electoral promise.
Although supplementation in this area is only BRL 1 billion, the estimate is to reallocate idle resources in other government funds to reach an amount of at least BRL 5 billion throughout the year, according to technicians who participated in the conversations. .
The rapporteur also foresees to reserve R$ 3.2 billion of the open space with the Transition PEC to pay for the readjustment of the Executive’s servers.
The amount, however, should not represent an increase, since it will only offset the same R$ 3.2 billion that had been allocated to this measure using resources from the rapporteur’s amendments —an instrument used as a bargaining chip in negotiations with Congress and whose destination is chosen by parliamentarians.
The use of rapporteur’s amendments to readjust the staff is considered a fiction and, therefore, the option is to immediately replace the resource.
In addition to the BRL 145 billion, the Transition PEC also authorized another BRL 23 billion for investments outside the spending ceiling. The allocation of these funds is still being decided by the elected government team.
The expectation is that the total investment in 2023 will rise to approximately R$ 60 billion, considering this extract value, the R$ 22 billion that were already included in the budget proposal and other items to be contemplated by the PEC.
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