Delayed census makes IBGE postpone unemployment survey releases

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The delay in collecting the 2022 Population Census will postpone the release of three editions of the Continuous National Survey (Continuous National Household Sample Survey), as announced by the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) this Monday (12).

Pnad presents official data on the Brazilian labor market, such as the unemployment rate, employed population and average income.

One of the affected publications is the monthly Continuous Pnad for the moving quarter from September to November 2022, which was moved to January 19, 2023. Initially, publication was scheduled for December 28, 2022.

The institute also transferred the release of the monthly Continuous Pnad for the moving quarter from October to December 2022 to February 28, 2023. According to the initial calendar, the publication would come out on January 31.

The third postponement is that of the quarterly Continuous Pnad for the fourth quarter of 2022. The disclosure was also transferred to February 28, 2023. The publication would take place on February 15.

The quarterly version of Pnad is more detailed. It presents data with clippings for Brazil, major regions and states, among others. Its editions contemplate the traditional quarters – first, second, third and fourth of each year.

The monthly version is more restricted and is focused only on Brazil. It covers so-called moving quarters, which normally warrant a release every 30 days.

The IBGE indicated that the changes in the Pnad calendar were made due to the task force set up to conclude the Census.

“Due to the creation of a task force that is using the collection structure of the State Superintendencies to collect the 2022 Demographic Census, there was an extension of the deadline for closing the interview database [da pesquisa de desemprego]🇧🇷 For this reason, the calendar of monthly and quarterly Continuous Pnad disclosures was revised”, said the agency.

The delay of the Census

The Census is going through a series of difficulties in the country. The survey interviews began on August 1st.

Initially, the IBGE planned to end the collection for October, but this deadline was extended to January of the next year. That is, the operation may take six months to complete, double the initial estimate (three months).

On different occasions, the IBGE associated the Census delay with difficulties in hiring and keeping census takers in the field.

The institute assesses that the refusals of part of the population to respond to the survey also hampered the progress of the collection.

The Census details the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of Brazilians. Population counts are the basis for public policy.

On Thursday (8), a statement from Assibge, which represents the IBGE employees, listed factors that would be responsible for the delay. Among them, would be the budget cut for the Census and the lack of effective servants in the organ.

For the entity, “the simple extension of the collection brings risks to the quality of the information, in that the interviews distance themselves from the reference date of the Census (July 31)”.

The IBGE, in turn, stated that it introduced “efficient statistical control tools, as well as geotechnology” in this year’s operation.

“The extension of the collection period that postpones the completion of the Census is not desired, only occurring for reasons unrelated to technical considerations. quality controls,” said the agency.

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