Healthcare

Mosial in SKAI: In which countries is a large number of cases of acute hepatitis expected in children

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Reassuring about cases acute hepatitis in children appeared the Health Policy Professor at LSE, Elias Mosialosspeaking to SKAI and the show “Unmatched”, as he said so far there are few recorded casesat least they got sicker.

«We have 169 reported cases in 12 countries, of which 12 children have had a liver transplant and a child has ended up. At the same time, we must recognize that there are 2 billion children under the age of 14 worldwide. Therefore, we are talking about a very small problem yet. This does not mean that it will remain small, but it is possible that its dimensions are not too large“, He stated characteristically.

As an example, he mentioned as an example Alabama, USAwhere in a period of 6 months only 9 difficult cases were recorded, in a state with a population of about 5 million, although as he pointed out there may be many more cases, which have not been recognized by either parents or doctors.

On the contrary, in Great Britainwhere the highest number is observed with 114 cases, The fact that it has an excessive number is a matter of concern compared to previous years. «In Scotland for example we have 12 cases, while we expect to have 4 in a year“, He stressed.

About the causes of hepatitis, Mr. Mosialos stressed that so far there are no safe conclusions, but only speculation. However, he stated that the most likely cause is considered to be adenovirus 41 although not found in all children. «This adenovirus causes this form of hepatitis, but mainly in immunocompromised children. But now we see that healthy children are affected“, He pointed out.

At the same time, he did not rule out the case had a history of coronavirus disease, as Israeli doctors have said, however it still can not be proven. «The Israelis have said that in several cases out of the 12 found in Israel, 3.5 months before the children became ill with Covid“, He stated.

He added that another reasonable estimate is considered that children are more prone to viruses right now, because they have not come in contact with too many, although he stressed that such a thing would be more logical to happen in countries where they have implemented a zero Covid policy. «In Southeast Asian countries with harsh lockdown policies or in New Zealand, we will see a flurry of such incidents. We have not seen it yet, but we will probably see it in 2-3 months“, Said the professor.

In each case, considers it certain that an increased number of cases will be recorded acute hepatitis in other countries. «If the number stays at these levels, the concern will not be too great. That is, if we are talking now to have 20-30 such cases in our country, it is different from having 5,000-10,000. So we have to wait a while“, He stressed.

In terms in the coronavirus pandemicMr. Mosialos stated that he is in recession, however we have to see its course in the coming months and especially in countries that follow a policy of zero Covid. «China is a cause for concern because only 2% of Chinese have been exposed to the coronavirus compared to 70% in the US and the UK. Thus a huge percentage of Chinese are prone to Omicron 2 and display other subcategories of Omicron. The Chinese government’s policy is deadlocked, as the spread of Omicron 2 is too great.“, concluded.

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