by Blandine Henault

PARIS (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected on a prudent note Tuesday at the opening while diplomatic negotiations continue to end the conflict in Ukraine and before the Federal Reserve (Fed) symposium in Jackson Hole.

According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could gain 0.08% at the opening.

Under -term contracts report an increase of 0.05% for the Dax in Frankfurt, 0.11% for the FTSE in London and 0.09% for the Stoxx 600.

On the occasion of an extraordinary summit organized on Monday at the White House, Donald Trump said that he started the preparations for a meeting between his Russian and Ukrainian counterparts for a peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow.

The American president also undertook to contribute to the security guarantees provided to Ukraine, without anyone knowing in the immediate form which form this aid could take.

Ukrainian president Volodimir Zelensky praised a “big step forward” and indicated that security guarantees would be “formalized on paper within a week to ten days”.

The tone of discussions marked a clear contrast to the previous coming of Volodimir Zelensky at the White House in late February, which had given rise to a lively altercation between the American and Ukrainian presidents. But for the time being, no peace agreement seemed at hand, especially since the thorny question of territorial concessions remains unanswered.

The attention of investors is also focused on the Jackson Hole symposium which will start on Thursday and where the president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, must speak. It could consolidate, or not, the anticipations of a drop in rates in September in the face of the degradation of the labor market in the United States.

The values to follow:

A Wall Street

The New York Stock Exchange ended in order dispersed on Monday before a week marked by the financial publications of the main American retailers and the Jackson Hole symposium of the Federal Reserve.

The Dow Jones index sold 0.08% to 44,911.82 points. The larger Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 0.01% to 6,449.15 points. The Nasdaq Composite advanced on its side from 0.03% to 21,629.774 points.

The term contracts on the three indices indicate for the moment an opening slightly decrease Tuesday for a session which will be marked by the results of Home Depot.

In Asia

The Nikkei index of the Tokyo Stock Exchange fell 0.16% as the fence approaches on profit sockets after having touched a historic higher the day before.

In China, the composite index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange increased by 0.47% and the CSI 300 of large capitalizations advances by 0.26%.

The Hong Kong Stock Exchange wins 0.23%.

Changes/Rate

The dollar is practically stable in the face of a basket of reference currencies while the trades are waiting for the speech, scheduled for Friday from Jackson Hole.

The euro varies little, at 1.1663 dollars.

On the bond market, the yield of Treasuries at ten years is also unchanged, at 4.3413%.

The S&P Global agency confirmed on Monday the credit note from the United States to “AA+”, believing that income from customs duties imposed by Donald Trump on the main trade partners of the United States will compensate for the effects on the public debt of the vast budgetary law promulgated by the president in early July.

OIL

The prices of the gross evolve slightly, investors evaluating the implications of the negotiations underway on Ukraine for the oil market.

“An outcome that would see a decrease in tensions and eliminate threats from customs duties or sanctions [visant la Russie ou les importateurs de pétrole russe] would see oil drift towards our average objective of 58 dollars per barrel for the fourth quarter 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, “said Bart Melek, head of the raw material strategy at TD Securities, in a note.

Brent barrel fell 0.6% to 66.2 dollars and that of the American light crude (WTI) lost 0.66% to 63 dollars.

No economic indicator at the agenda of August 19

(Written by Blandine Hénault)

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