With the way things have taken in France, officials of both the majority and the minority can not help but draw parallels with the Greek political data. The figures are not comparable, as Macron’s extreme neoliberal policies and the anger of the masses did not give him a second chance after the presidential election.
By Antonis Anzoletos
François Mitterrand in 1988, during his second election, was separated by only a few seats from the absolute majority. The then Socialist Prime Minister Michel Rocard had no problem finding the members of the French National Delegation who needed him to pass his legislation. Today things are very different in France. The anti-systemic vote punished Emanuel Macron a few days after his victory in the presidential election. The record of abstentionwhich reached 54%, was estimated to be the response to legislative changes that provoked strong reactionssuch as that of the insurance with the provision for increasing the retirement age to 65 years.
It is being discussed on July 5 motion of censure tabled by Jean-Luc Melanson against the newly appointed government. It’s a great pretext for the French president, given the way the debate is going to be, to announce early elections; This is the question of experienced analysts who see that governance in France is now seriously threatened.
Given that in the French Republic the culture of coalitions does not exist, the basic scenario wants the “Together” faction to seek occasional parliamentary majorities to pass its bills. The 245 seats (out of 577) are the thinnest majority in the modern political history of the country. Marin Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melanson are waiting for the French president in the “corner” to challenge him. The center-right Republicans (61 seats) are divided over whether they can support the president. Unless there is a split capable of eventually giving Macron some form of majority.
The big issue, however, for the French president is different. The profile of the European leader which he tried to build from 2017 with the initiatives he took even with his proposals for key changes in the structure and operation of the EU can hardly be supported anymore. He had announced them from Pnyx in September of the year he was elected president. Who will trust a leader who is completely weak inside? In fact, at the moment when 2027 completes his political career.
With the way things took in France can not executives of both the majority and the minority not to draw parallels with the Greek political data. The figures are not comparable, as Macron’s extreme neoliberal policies and the anger of the masses did not give him a second chance after the presidential election. In France, after all, in the first ballot the samples were obvious since it did not manage to exceed the psychological barrier of 30% in May. It took the next round, but it was still cut compared to five years ago.
ND does not face any poll problemhas a comfortable lead over SYRIZA after three years of rule, however the difficult winter that is coming isthe “bell” that Kyriakos Mitsotakis hears. In other words, to hold the elections at the best timing, giving the signal of the rally and exorcising the dispersal of the vote. Target; the second ballots to give him autonomy. Otherwise the search for a government partner, for whichever party cuts the thread first, will be the only way to prevent the “Nightmarish” scenario of the third consecutive ballot box which will put the country in a prolonged governmental instability. As is the case now in France.
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