“We will be in a state of controlled tension until elections are held in Turkey. The more vulnerable Erdogan feels, the more aggressively he reacts,” noted the former national security adviser.
The estimate that the Turkish drilling rig “Abdulhamit Khan” will move to area of the Cypriot EEZ expressed the former national security adviser, Alexis Diakopoulos speaking to SKAI and the show “Morning News”. However, he did not rule out the possibility of having and rerun of summer 2020 events.
“There are various scenarios, and perhaps the worst for us is that the Turks come to the area inside the middle line which is our continental shelf and EEZ, where Oruch Reis did the surveys two years ago, and do the drilling there. In the event that this happens and having anticipated our own reaction, their drilling rig will come with an escort of too many warships. This will lead Greece to mobilize much of the fleet and almost have a repeat of 2020“, he said characteristically.
But he estimated that “it will probably move into an area of the Cypriot EEZ, either in Pseudokratos which has declared an illegal EEZ or in the area demarcated by the Republic of Cyprus. However, it is possible that it will come further west to our side, it is possible that it will come marginally where the EEZs meet».
According to Mr. Diakopoulos, when Turkey issues Navtex, Greece will react accordingly, with legal and diplomatic means.
Asked whether the German foreign minister’s statements condemning TurkeyAnalena Burbok, influence Erdoğan’s decisions regarding the area where the drill will be taken, he pointed out that any statement or action by third parties, which is in favor of the Greek positions, causes crazy reactions in Turkey.“Revisionism in the Western world is not easy and this can be seen from the attitude of Germany, which from where it used to keep average distances, the foreign minister took a clear position. In addition, Israel came to conduct exercises in the area claimed by the Turkish-Libyan memorandum. We see that the international environment is not evolving in favor of Turkish interests. Turkey is trying to implement a coercive strategy towards Greece and Cyprus, and drilling is less a means to extract oil and more a means of coercion.”the former National Security Advisor explained.
Finally, he predicted that until elections are held in Turkey, Ankara’s statements are becoming increasingly aggressive and demanding. “I believe we will be in a state of controlled tension until elections are held. The more vulnerable Erdogan feels, the more aggressively he reacts“, concluded.
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