Election 2023: The two main scenarios for polls in April or May – The most likely dates

Election 2023: The two main scenarios for polls in April or May – The most likely dates

Awaiting the announcement of the decision by the Prime Minister – The constitution provides that elections are held within 30 days of the dissolution of Parliament

The debate surrounding the dates of the elections.

The dominant month seems to be April. In particular, according to the 1st scenario, if the first electoral contest takes place on April 2nd, the second electoral contest will take place on May 14th.

According to the 2nd scenario, if the first election is held on April 9, the second election will be held on May 21.

It is recalled that the constitution provides that elections are held within 30 days of the dissolution of Parliament.

However, there is also a period in between when the president of the Republic, since there is no government formation in the first ballot, should give the exploratory orders, call all the leaders if none of them are effective and then if any of these procedures are not effective to call the president of the Council of State or the Supreme Court or the Court of Auditors in order to instruct a caretaker government to proceed with elections. So it takes about 41 days.

The great battles of the Parliament until the elections

At least 60 difficult days await the parties in the Parliament, as the forces that got the precious “ticket” in July 2019 wish to win the last impressions just before the polls are set. In the Plenary, in the Committees, in the Parliamentary Audit and in the special meetings, the disputes are many and the differences are great. The government-opposition conflict is expected to peak in January, as the Conference of Presidents will deal with the renewal of the term of office of members of the Communications Privacy Assurance Authority and the National Broadcasting Council. In the Committee on Institutions and Transparency, the question of surveillance is expected to dominate, with the opposition asking for new explanations and evidence mainly regarding the accounts of the companies allegedly related to the wiretapping.

The leaders of the opposition parties, and in particular Alexis Tsipras, are expected to increase their appearances in Parliament, highlighting current issues or reacting to the new legislation that the majority plans to bring. The possibility of SYRIZA filing a motion of no confidence against the government was discussed, however, Alexis Tsipras does not seem to want to give the government its additional mobilization as a “gift”, since New Democracy already received a vote of confidence through the budget. In the last turn before the elections such a move is not considered appropriate except in exceptional cases. For the current month there is no scheduled conflict between Mitsotakis and Tsipras in the Parliament. It is not excluded, of course, that the leader of the official opposition will pursue this by submitting a new question during the prime minister’s time. Sources from Koumoundourou leave all possibilities open.

In the government camp they are already talking about the 398 pieces of legislation that the government brought to the Plenary in the last three years. The planning includes the passing of many more bills that will enter the Committees and the Plenary by 17 ministries. The prime minister has demanded that portfolio heads not put down their pencils until the election. The Ministry of Finance is planning arrangements for occupied public properties and the establishment of a private debt monitoring register. From the Ministry of the Interior, the new legislation concerns multi-level governance, and from the Ministry of Justice, the new framework from where you are concerned. The Ministry of Education is preparing a bill regarding new criteria for selecting teachers and the Ministry of Health, among other regulations, for day care units, as well as unemployment support programs.

An area of ​​conflict may be the issue of the vote of expatriates and the possibility of predicting a connection between the number of deputies elected by Greeks abroad and the number of those who will vote. However, SYRIZA and PASOK, which together number 110 MPs, have already declared that they will not support such an initiative (a 2/3 majority is required) and blame Maximou for the very small number of registrations in the electoral rolls of the emigrants.

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