The battle for second place and the conflict between the smaller parties is reflected in the Pulse poll presented yesterday in the SKAI news bulletin
By Antonis Anzoletou
The battle for second place, as well as the conflict between the smaller parties, is clearly reflected in the Pulse poll presented yesterday in the SKAI news bulletin. Everything shows that on the evening of June 9, a “thriller” on which parties will get the “ticket” to Brussels thus significantly influencing the number of seats that will be allocated.
Potentially, based on the undecided distribution scenario, the forces that appear to be able to exceed 3% are 10. Is that enough? Given that the electoral measure is derived from dividing the total percentage of parties by the number of seats (100/21 = 4.7) the 3% limit cannot definitely give a seat. The most likely scenario, however, is that the formations that will succeed in electing an MEP will be up to eight.
The night is expected to be long, as the undecided and the abstention will be the catalyst for shaping the final result. Even for the battle of the “little ones”.
The fragmentation of the vote already shows that there is one tendency to protest not only to the government but also to SYRIZA and PASOK, as many people seem disappointed in the performance of their opposition duties. This is why he can SYRIZA to is ahead lately, however, it hasn’t gotten a security clearance.
Based on Pulse, there is an overlap of their percentages from the lowest to the highest level (SYRIZA 14.2% – 18.8% PASOK 11% – 15%) which could cause reallocations. There is no doubt that the two parties are losing strength even from the smaller formations. The fact that in a fairly turbulent landscape, with precision dominating the market, the two opposition leaders failed to reduce the “scissors” with the New Democracy cannot simply be overlooked.
THE blue lineup appears to move between 29.1% and 34.9%, maintaining however one has security difference more than 15 units. Certainly, the minimum limit showing it not to exceed 30% will not be clear for Piraeus. The dominance of New Democracy can be seen from the fact that, according to the Pulse survey, 36% of the wider centrist area support that they will vote for it, as do 20% of the rest of the electorate.
From the center o SYRIZA collects just 13% and the PASOK 18%.
The very small support recorded by SYRIZA does not help the narrative they have set up in Koumoundourou about the “end of the arrogance of Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ 41%” or for the resignation of the government and recourse to early elections. Neither, however, does the possibility of the party succeeding in exceeding 20% show any potential. They believe, however – as in PASOK – that even at the last moment they can win a share of the undecided vote.
New Democracy claims that the goal of over 33% of the last European elections remains achievable. However, as the polls approach, the “gray zone” does not seem to have decided what to do, and this causes even greater uncertainty. Apart from the nature of the vote that does not judge the next government and therefore does not give people an incentive to come to the polling booths. According to Pulse, the percentage of undecideds is at 12.7%, marginally increased compared to the previous month by 0.2%.
Source: Skai
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