By Antonis Anzoletou

Pulse’s vote estimate on behalf of SKAI depicts a political “mosaic” completely different from the outcome of the 2023 election. With fragmentation both on the right and mainly on the left it is clear that it will take time for the voters to settle with the more to appear confused. They are called to reject “falling stars” and choose forces that have an informed political proposition.

New Democracy seems to be gaining strength in relation to the European elections (29.5%), remaining the only stable governing force at the moment in the political scene. It is interesting that, according to the research, the “settling of accounts” done by Kyriakos Mitsotakis in relation to the former prime minister, Antonis Samaras, seemed to give him “points”, as he was evaluated by the voters of the party “definitely positively and rather positively” by 76%. Its rally is in the highest percentages compared to PASOK and SYRIZA, at 80%, with outflows of 4% to Harilaou Trikoupi and an 8% waiting attitude. The economy will play a decisive role and they are well aware of this at Maximos.

In the Koumoundourou camp, the election of Sokratis Famellos needs some reasonable time to be reflected. 8% in the vote estimate does not cause smiles, as SYRIZA has turned into a small and medium-sized party, however the movement of Stefanos Kasselakis does not seem to show any momentum either and is recorded at 5%. SYRIZA executives are already commenting that the passage of time will further strengthen their party, as the image it will present is expected to be completely different. It is a fact that the dispersal of MPs does not help Koumoundourou as the disqualification from the position of official opposition is still fresh. In terms of qualitative data, SYRIZA voters in the European elections are divided, with 40% stating that they are “quite or very likely” to vote for the Democracy Movement and 41% saying that they will “slightly or hardly at all” move to the side of Stefanos Kasselakis . If there are no samples of writing from both leaderships it is difficult to draw safe conclusions.

For PASOK, things are good, but not rosy. The second place is not disputed and it is certain that the institutional role of the official opposition in the budget debate next month will give it an additional boost. The percentage recorded in the intention to vote (17%) shows that there is still a way to go until it overcomes the “psychological limit” of 20% and consolidates the difference from New Democracy into single digits. The ongoing feud over the VAT is helping to revive the old dipole and currently suits both gladiators. After some time, New Democracy, acquiring an opponent, rallies its people and PASOK becomes the interlocutor of the majority and the only one that shows that it can oppose it. The anxiety for Nikos Androulakis is not to remain stagnant and to show that his party, after his re-election to the presidency, is entering a governing orbit.

Apart from the KKE and the Hellenic Solution, whose vote estimates put them at 9% and 8% respectively, the rest of the forces appear to be in a “political elevator”.

The Voice of Reason, having taken a turn since Trump prevailed in the USA, appears 2 points higher than in the European elections (5%). Freedom Sailing has been recorded in better numbers, however it is currently estimated at 4%. The Spartans are led to elimination (2%), while Victory holds its ground (3.5%). The New Left, with its congressional procedures completed, once again finds it difficult to overcome the 3% limit and remains at 2.5%, showing however that it has a consolidated audience. It has not managed to gain anything from the deterioration of SYRIZA to its Left, as has MeRA25 (3%).