There are 17 rounds left in the Brazilian Championship, which mathematically means that each team will still play for 51 points — Palmeiras currently leads with 45.
But if on the one hand mathematics is an exact science, on the other hand it is a scoundrel, and it is at the service of all teams for easy manipulation. For example, the math says that the intrepid Stronghold can still be champion. The calculation is easy, just win 16 of the 17 remaining games (you can even lose to Palmeiras, to give you emotion) and hope for a draw in all the other matches of the teams in the top 10 of the table — I already did it in the simulator, it works. And the chance of that happening should be more or less the same as the Mega-Sena drawing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6.
Based on the same math, a statistician recently pointed out that Fluminense (3rd) and Flamengo (5th) are more likely to win titles than vice-leader Corinthians.
But quickly leaving the coldness of numbers aside, Palmeiras can forward the title of the Brazilian Championship in the next three rounds (…or not), when they will face precisely Corinthians (away), Flamengo (home) and Fluminense (away). All of these duels are worth three points, and they will all be called a “six-point game” over the next few days.
There are three matches that, spread across the table, could be three defeats without any crisis. However, one on the side of the other could mean the loss of leadership for Corinthians, Fluminense or Flamengo, or for all three.
In this football metaverse, in less than 20 days, Palmeiras would fall from leader and absolute favorite for the title to fourth place, which would lead to a crisis with Abel Ferreira, fans graffiti on the wall, the internet screaming “out, Leila”, Bolsonaro wearing the shirt of the Flamengo or Corinthians and Coldplay canceling shows at Allianz Parque. In other words, chaos.
On the other hand, imagine alviverde beating the three rivals… I could already order the belt and prepare festivities in Brazil and Portugal. The difference to the vice-leader would be widened, Fla and Flu would be more off the radar in the dispute, Abel Ferreira would be quoted for a Premier League team, Leila would beat Bolsonaro and Lula in the first round and Coldplay would make an extra show for the title, renaming the song “Yellow” as “Green”.
Most likely, neither one nor the other will happen.
“Cold head, and the rest too” should be Professor Abel’s motto for the next few days. More than any other characteristic in his work, dear Abel is extremely pragmatic. If he could sign now, all he would want would be to continue with six points ahead of Corinthians and nine of Flamengo at the end of the three games, which would neither win him the title (yet), nor cause damage.
Pessimistic Palmeiras certainly remember the abnormal 2009 championship, when Flamengo started for the title by taking a ten point disadvantage to alviverde in the final 11 rounds – the Flamengo fans also remember, and they have more time, more team and less points behind this one. turn.
end of an era
The biggest Grand Slam winner of tennis’s open era, Serena Williams has marked her retirement for the US Open, which begins in late August. At the age of 40, the tennis player, who has a daughter, declared that she wants to increase the family, but that she is not a man. “If I were a man I wouldn’t be writing this because I’d be playing and winning while my wife is having the physical work of expanding our family. Maybe I would be more of a Tom Brady if I had the opportunity.” I will return to the topic before the Open.
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