A asteroid Recently discovered has a chance of 1.2% to hit Earth in 2032, the European Space Agency (ESA) announced today, which will coordinate its monitoring to predict its course more accurately.

The asteroid 2024 YR4 It was discovered last December, thanks to a special risks located in Chile. It is estimated that it is 40-100 meters long and could fall to Earth on December 22, 2032, according to automatic warning systems.

“An asteroid of this magnitude strikes the Earth on average every thousands of years and could cause serious damage to an area,” ESA said. So far, the possibility of an asteroid impact on Earth is 1.2%, according to ESA calculations, with which they also agree with those of the NASA special service that deals with these celestial bodies. Asteroid is ranked in Tier 3 on the Turin scale that created by Nasa and concerns the likelihood of inconvenience or conflict of celestial body with the earth. This scale starts at 0 (no risk) and reaches 10 (total destruction).

ESA believes it is very likely that the new asteroid observations will lead to the revision of the risk level at 0. He explained that “it is important to remind you that the possibility of an impact is initially increased and then, with additional observations, falls quickly to zero” .

As a member of International Asteroids Warning Network (IAWN)ESA will coordinate future observations to more accurately assess the risk of an impact. For this purpose he will use his very big telescope Southern European Observatory located in Chile. However, this may prove to be difficult because the 2024 YR4 orbit will significantly remove him from Earth in the coming months. There is therefore the possibility that observations will not be enough to “exclude any possibility of an impact” in 2032.

In this case, scientists and people will have to wait until 2028, when the asteroid is re -found on the ground of observation from the Earth.