Polls in recent days have sometimes shown one party leading the other and sometimes the other, with percentages hovering around 27%.
The French are invited to go to the polls again today, this time to elect in two rounds the 577 deputies of the French National Assembly. The stakes of this electoral contest is whether you will be re-elected president in April Macron will also have a parliamentary majority by 2027 – when he leaves the Champs Elysees – or will be forced to “cohabit” in the exercise of power, that is, to appoint a political opponent as prime minister, who according to opinion polls does not seem to is another leader of the French Left Alliance Jean-Luc Melanson.
Polls in recent days have shown that one party is ahead of the other, with rates ranging around 27%, but generally predict that in the second round of the June 19 parliamentary elections the Macron factioneven after much suffering, will eventually succeed in gaining control of the National Assembly.
However, it is not ruled out that neither of the two aforementioned factions will have a majority of MPs, so it is crucial how many MPs will be elected and what the center-right, neo-conservative Republican faction will do after the elections. in the presidential elections, where they did not get 5%, in today’s parliamentary elections they appear to more than double their percentage and in the second round to win about 60 seats. The most popular political figure in the area, former President Nicolas Sarkozy, has already clearly spoken out in favor of a vote of confidence in Macron.
As far as the far right is concerned, Marin Le Pen’s goal seems to be nothing more than to form, for the first time, a parliamentary group recognized by the rules of procedure of the National Assembly, that is, to elect more than 15 deputies, with polls showing it moving 20%.
In today first round of parliamentary elections, one in two Frenchmen who are estimated to go to the polls (more than 50% abstention) will be asked to choose which party the candidate is voting for. If a candidate exceeds 50% of the votes in the current first round, he is elected Member of Parliament. If not, in the second round of next Sunday, the first two have the right to go to the polls, but also those who manage to exceed 12.5% ​​of those registered in the electoral lists. In the second round, the first member of parliament is elected by ballot. In practice, all this means that in the vast majority of constituencies, according to opinion polls, a candidate close to Macron and a candidate close to Melanson will be contested, since with an abstention rate of 50%, it is rather difficult to have many constituencies where a third candidate will pass in the second round. It also means that, according to forecasts, for the first time in the modern political history of France, there will be no significant number of self-identified candidates in the second round.
The polls will close today at 21.00 Greek timewhenever the first estimates for the final result will be published.
