The French president will face an official opposition that is far left and a minor opposition that is far right.
His most serious problem President of France Emanuel Macron does not lie in the fact that in the end he will not be, as he hoped, the first head of state to be able to rule for two terms without being forced to live together.
It lies in that now that needs no roommate, states willing to share … home with him.
The map of the opposition
THE Marin Lepenthe leader of the far right, who two months ago was thinking of handing over the leadership of her party, already sees herself sitting round in 2027 at the Palace of the Champs Elysees. Until then, he will oppose Macron everywhere and in everything.
The same, after all, states that he will do Jean-Luc Melanson, that he does not seem willing to leave the political arena either, as he had hinted before the presidential election that he would do due to his age.
So the only one who is expected to leave politics in 2027 is the – youngest of all – Mr. Macron, for whom a third term is not allowed under the French Constitution.
Until 2027, Emanuel Macron will hold the presidency of his country, assuring that he is neither left nor right.
He will face an official opposition indicating very left and a minor opposition indicating very right.
There are, of course, Republican Republicans who could lend a helping hand to Macron – but for the time being, they are also in opposition.
Not everyone: The party’s most recognizable figure, former President Nicolas Sarkozy, is in favor of working with the Macron faction. But Mr Sarkozy is not a Republican MP, nor did he respect party patriotism in the run-up to the election.
In the absence of a parliamentary majority until recently, Emanuel Macron’s faction will seek, as Prime Minister Elizabeth Bourne said, “majority of action” from “various sensitivities” on specific issues.
Can the country be governed?
The question that has been prevailing in France since last night is whether and to what extent the country can be governed in this way.
Pending Macron’s position on the election results, which may shed light on where France is heading, political analysts are discussing possible scenarios. noting that if he wants, Macron has the right to call new parliamentary elections.
However, they emphasize that if he does it now, it will be a political suicide.
Five things you need to know about the French elections
Two months after the re-election of Emanuel Macron, the French president’s party suffered a blow in the second round of parliamentary elections held yesterday Sunday: as everything shows, it will be deprived of the absolute majority in the National Assembly and will face a “tsunami”, during expression of Marin Le Pen, with the unprecedented advance of the far right.
Here are five facts to keep in mind about the process of electing the 577 members of the French lower house.
Slap for Emanuel Macron
The center-liberal presidential faction Ensemble (“Together”) is limited to a relative majority in the National Assembly.
According to polling institutes, it will lack at least forty seats to reach the 289 it needed to govern alone. Unprecedented negative performance: this is the smallest relative majority in the 5th Republic, ie since 1958.
If these results are confirmed, the question arises, above all, whether and to what extent Mr Macron will be able to govern and push for the reforms he has promised, in particular pensions.
The left official opposition
The leader of the radical left, Jean-Luc Melanson, did not win the bet to impose cohabitation on Emanuel Macron, in other words, to force him to name him the new prime minister.
But he managed to turn the left into the official opposition, as he is expected to secure around 150 seats. The NUPES alliance, which brings together socialists, environmentalists, communists and the radical left, has crushed several figures in Mr Macron’s faction and prevented the president from securing an absolute majority.
“We achieved the political goal we set less than a month ago,” which was to defeat Mr Macron, Mr Melanson said, accusing the head of state of “arrogance”.
The far right comes out
His goal was to reach at least 15 deputies to form a parliamentary group in the French National Assembly. According to forecasts, however, the National Alarm may occupy six times as many seats.
Marin Le Pen, who was re-elected in Pas de Calais (north), may have 80 to 95 deputies – ten to fifteen times more than today. The unlucky candidate in the second round of the presidential election promised to exercise “strict” and “responsible” opposition.
Fallen figures
Many significant figures of the presidential faction suffered painful defeats: the president of the outgoing National Assembly Richard Ferran, the leader of the parliamentary group of Christoph Castaner …
Three ministers, Amelie de Monsallen (Ecological Transition), Brigitte Bourguignon (Health) and Justin Benin (Maritime and Shipping), had the same fate and are expected to leave the government’s position, according to France. .
High abstention
As in the first round, more than half of the voters did not go to the polls in the second. The abstention increased even more, it is estimated that it ranged between 53.5 and 54%. It may not have broken the 2017 record (57.36%), but it is estimated that it will be the second highest recorded.
