Four days after Iran attacked Israel with over 300 drones and ballistic missiles, the Israeli government has made decisions on how it will respond to the strike without, however, announcing when it will happen.

In a message today, Wednesday, the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu thanked the countries that helped defend Israel clarified however, that “we will decide for ourselves how to defend our country”.

According to what is transmitted by SKAI’s envoy to Tel Aviv, Stavros Ioannidis, the one that will probably undertake to carry out the operation that the country is planning is its air force. With Israeli fighter jets able to fly outside its airspace, they are a powerful “weapon” for the country. In fact, the Revolutionary Guards have already put their systems on maximum alert in order to face an Israeli counterattack.

Israel’s basic counterattack scenarios

Israel’s counterattack is not expected to be long, however, with the country having considered various counterattack scenarios. According to what he reported the journalist of SKAI, Yannis Paliouras, three are the possible scenarios and all involve Lebanon.

Scenario one: A regional strike

A blow that will not affect Iran, however positions of Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and Yemen will be hit. In Syria and Iraq, the diaspora has already begun as they expect an attack from Israel at any moment. Possible hits are considered to be positions of the Revolutionary Guards, ammunition depots but also laboratories that manufacture rockets and all kinds of armaments.

At the same time, Lebanon, which is Israel’s “thorn in the side”, is expected to receive a fierce land invasion at some point. The goal is to end Israel once and for all with Hezbollah and the northern front.

Scenario Two: A limited attack inside Iran

Israel will strike at symbolic targets ie, bases where drones were launched, underground warehouses where ballistic missiles are located, positions of the Revolutionary Guards. These are targets linked to Israel’s strikes but which do not affect Iran’s leadership and its armed forces.

Scenario three: The strike of revenge

Israel will strike facilities and persons associated with the attack or persons and facilities associated with Iran’s nuclear program. In this case there are two scenarios. The first is a long-range airstrike or they go all the way to the Iranian border and hit precisely where they want. The second is a non-direct involvement in the extermination of air force personnel.

Of the three scenarios a combination of these is considered the most likely with the scenario of a regional strike considered almost certain since Israel is keen to punish the regional countries. Also, it is very likely that Iran’s nuclear facilities will be affected in some way since Israel “sees” a window to end Iran’s nuclear program.