In a landscape of increasing tension, the Middle East is facing perhaps the biggest challenge in its history. A great war, with weapons of mass destruction…

For decades the Middle East region has learned to burn and measure its forces. The latest events, however, have both duration and intensity, but also a great risk of generalization. And when we refer to a generalization, we refer to an overall conflict, with the involvement of external forces, which in combination with the war in Ukraine and the vested interests that have developed on the planet, can lead to the worst possible scenario, the nightmare for all of humanity.

It would not be an exaggeration if we wrote that we are closer than ever to the gates of hell being opened and all kinds of demons coming out, in a state out of control and with powers that could not be tamed.

At this stage, the main elements that make up the whole situation are as follows:

1) Israel and the Benjamin Netanyahuunder pressure from within the government and especially from the extreme right wing, has decided to respond to Iran’s attack.

2) Retaliation does not agree with the US leadership and for this reason a direct and direct attack of the US was prevented Tel Aviv to Tehran.

3) Iran maintains that the attack with 300 drones and missiles was legal, due to the bombing of the Damascus consulate.

4) Tehran directly threatens to use nukes, saying that a new attack by Israel would “force” it to change its doctrine on nuclear weapons. Experts argue that Iran already has nuclear weapons and needs a reason. A scenario that, if confirmed, will cause a global conflict and the involvement of the major powers, with completely unpredictable consequences.

5) The scenario is confirmed, not officially but from authoritative sources, of agreement between the US and Israel for an operation in Rafah, in exchange for an immediate attack on Iran.

This last scenario has three very important aspects:

1) Israel and Netanyahu win. Firstly, because they have shown that they can defend themselves against a large-scale attack and secondly, because their original plan is progressing in Gaza, that is, the intervention -also- in Rafah. In essence, Tel Aviv appears to be aiming for a comprehensive response to the equally dangerous situation in Gaza and the West Bank, and in conjunction with continued and growing settlements, ultimately a “permanent…temporary” occupation and control of the area .

2) The humanitarian disaster in Gaza, with millions of people in a state of starvation and without shelter, which may compel foreign powers, especially Israel’s allies, to react.

3) The possible reaction of Iran, but also of other countries, such as the Arab states or even Turkey, which will once again lead the region to a flare-up, also with unpredictable consequences.

The “signs” for the future of the world are not auspicious. With two wars underway, both with no sign of de-escalation, and the immediate involvement of nuclear-armed powers (officially Russia, NATO, unofficially Israel, Iran), most scenarios lead to doom.

At the same time, the situation in the world can be turned upside down again, as in the next six months, the European Union and the USA will test their endurance – and that of the rest of the world – with elections.

In the European Union, the rapid rise of the extreme right is of great concern, especially in the foundations of European democracy, France, and in the USA, the concern is equally intense, as the Donald Trump seems to have a lead of one of his Joe Bidena fact that, if verified in the results of the elections, will mean a new global context and an unknown landscape – based on the intentions of the republican politician – towards Europe, relations with NATO, but also the two ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.