The new prognosis of a result There is no big difference for the German elections. But it is a difficult next day with tough negotiations and limited loud scenarios.

According to the new prelimination, the CDU/CSU under Friedrich Mertz is 28.9%, Alice Videl’s far -right AFD 19.7%and the SPD Solds Solds 16.1%. It is noted that no one wants to work with AfD in a government coalition. It is recalled that early elections in the country were caused by the collapse of a tripartite coalition under the leadership of Chancellor’s center -left SPD Solds. CDU candidate Friedrich Mertz could become the next chancellor and choose to form a coalition with the SPD and/or the Greens. The entry limit to the federal parliament is 5%.

The Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) are as expected by the winners of the election, with only 28.9%, but proves that they do not have a victory and will probably cause grumbling in the middle and lower party offices.

The far -right Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 19.7% has doubled its percentages and has every reason to celebrate. It is the winner of the elections both in numbers and in the level of impressions. She has imposed her agenda and attracts all the eyes of friends and opponents in Europe.

For them Social Democrats (SPD) 16.1% is a major defeat. The optimism he was trying to convey until the last minute, allfy Salts seemed unreal and proved to be such. His own political future seems to have been sealed, and the possibility of participating as a smaller partner in a government with the Christian Democrats is not the best starting point for a process of renewal.

The Green With 13.2% they pay the cost of participating in the previous government. They managed to contain forces, they lost a little bit, but they will now need to negotiate with the Christian Democrats, who did not stop them to dismiss them as irrelevant to the economy.

The Liberal (FDP) are found as shown on the edge of the cliff and it will seem if they can not fall. Move to the 5%limit. However, they will not be the most sought after government partners in a figure that will again need three partners

For the Left Die Linke The 8.6% should be considered satisfactory if one remembers that at the end of 2024 all of them were written off. There were polls that were “watching” it, and it was not in the end “excitement of the moment”.

OR Sarah Wagenknecht 4.7% was probably dragged by its good result in the European elections, which was unable to go back to any poll. Without the supplies of a parliamentary presence it will be difficult for its alliance (Bsw) to survive politically for a four -year period.

With the finalization of the results and the final distribution of the seats one can say more about the next day’s options.

It is noted that about 59 million Germans today elected the 630 MPs of the Federal Parliament (Bundestag). In the last elections of 2021 the MPs were 736 due to a different distribution system. Chancellor is elected by the new House. The ballot arrival broke a record reaching 84%, according to a prognosis of the Infratest Dimap Institute.

The German elections are particularly important as Europe’s largest economy is facing stagnant growth, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and while US President Donald Trump threatens to launch a world trade war that could hit Germany’s industrial sector.

Distribution of seats on the basis of initial forecast

Possible Coalitions

It is noted that at least 316 seats need to be achieved to achieve a government coalition.

Clearly waxing seems to be the far -right AfD, which doubled its percentage. What the next government would be could depend on the neoliberal FDP. If the party is able to exceed the 5% limit required to enter Budestag, the distribution of seats will probably make it impossible for the two central forces, the SPD and the CDU/CSU block, form a government coalition. This would mean that the next government would need three parties again to survive. But if the FDP fails to do so, a “big coalition” of the CDU/CSU and the SPD would be the most stable of all possible coalitions.

Possible Coalitions

Votes rates – profits and losses

Profits and losses

Mertz: Historical victory that gives us great responsibility

Friedrich Mertz (CDU), who made a special mention of the assistance of the Bavarian Christian Socialists, spoke about a historic victory for his party and a governance. He spoke of great historical responsibility, expressed his respect for all other parties, and stood the need to quickly form a government with the aim of Germany to return to the international scene as a strong and reliable power.

“We will celebrate tonight and tomorrow we will start working,” Merz said in a first reaction in Berlin, surrounded by supporters.

Karsen Lineman (CDU): Germany needs a stable government

Germany needs a stable government, the Secretary General of the Christian Democratic Party (CDU) Karsten Linemann, shortly after the first exit polls were published.

“The Conservatives won the election,” Karsen Lineman said.

CDU/CSU: ‘Greens will not need

Alexander Dobrides of the Christian Social Union (CSU), the Bavarian brother -in -law of the Conservative Christian Democrats (CDU), welcomed the “positive result” for the Conservatives and expressed the belief that they could form a government – without the Greens.

“We have clarified what we consider political change and made it clear that it could not include the Greens Party,” ARD public broadcasting network told the public broadcasting network.

“I can’t imagine a coalition with them. On the contrary, we will do everything we can to build a coalition and the Greens will not be necessary. “

Total Salts: “We have a responsibility for the election result”

Overfy Saltz recognized his defeat on Sunday and congratulated Friedrich Mertz’s conservative opponent.

“This is a bitter election result for the Social Democratic Party, it is an electoral defeat,” Saltz said in a first reaction.

“Congratulations on the election result,” he said, addressing Mertz.

SPD: It’s a bitter defeat

It’s a bitter defeat for SPD admitted the Secretary General of Matthias Mirsrefusing to predict what turn the negotiations for the formation of a government and in what form his party could participate in them.

Videl: Open for negotiations with Christian Democracy

Extremely satisfied with the result, the candidate for Germany’s candidate Alternative, Alice Weidel, said, stretching, as he said, a hand of cooperation with Christian Democracy to act the will of the German people.

Relatively satisfied with the green hambeck

Pride in his party that managed to overcome the ugly polls and gather about a sum of about 2021, the candidate of Greens, Robert Hambek, expressed. However, he predicted difficult and painful political consultations.

RAICHINEK: Grateful for the result of Die Linke

Enthusiasm in the leftist staff with the Heidi Raynek To express her gratitude to voters and insist on the slogan of “Change” without excluding the possibility of joining a government if asked.

A long night for the FDP

The Wolfgang button by the Liberals acknowledged that the night would be long, as it is still unclear if its party will be above or below 5%.