THE Donald Trump He marked with his statements two big things last weekend on the tariff front.

One is that it is pushing for the complete imposition of duties In Canada and Mexico Next month, despite the financial consequences that have already appeared – and despite the two months delays. And the second is that he is asking for patience for a non -popular idea.

Most striking is that it left open the possibility of leading the USA in recession.

But above all, this is the simple fact: it is unlikely that the American people are as patient as they ask him.

When asked about the perspective of recession by Fox News presenter, Maria BarteroTrump didn’t rule out it. He said, however: “I hate to predict such things. There is a transitional period because what we do is very big. “

Trump encouraged people to have a longer -term thinking, even citing China.

“Look, what I need to do is build a strong country. You can’t really watch the stock market, “Trump said. ‘If you look at the Chinahave a 100 -year perspective. We have a quarter. We go by quarters (it means 25 years). “

This is a fairly indicative comparison. Whatever the benefits of a longer -term approach, this is more practical in a country that stifles the disagreement. Trump must face possible reactions from the American people who could harm their political perspectives.

And there are many reasons to believe that Americans will not give Trump what he is asking for. The first reason is that few Americans are really demanding these duties. Polls have shown that Americans are opposed to duties in Canada and Mexico by 2 to 1.

But more than that, the support that exists seems extremely fluid. A poll of Reuters -ipsos Last month it showed that only 14% of Americans strongly supported the concept of duties or taxes to imported goods from other countries. For tariffs in Canada and Mexico, it was 12% and 15%, respectively.

This is only 1 in 7 Americans who strongly support Trump’s idea. Even within the base of Trump, the support is silent. It is indicative that only 3 out of 10 Republicans strongly supported the duties.

The second reason is that, while it is reasonable that Americans could be convinced of the correctness of the decision, especially the Base of Trump, are quite skeptical.

In general, the compensation with duties is that although they are inflationary, they can rejuvenate the domestic industry by making American products more competitive with suddenly higher import prices. For example, if the timber from Canada becomes more expensive because it is taxed at a higher rate, the market will be better for American timber.

But this process of revitalizing the American industry, as Trump notes, takes time. And Americans do not see the light so patient at the end of the tunnel.

That is:

– a poll of Washington Post-Sipsos Last month it showed that only 35% of Americans said that duties in Canada, China and Mexico would help US manufacturers. 43% said that a problem would arise.

– Only 31% said the duties would help US workers, while 46% said duties would be actively harmed.

Again, the lack of excitement is evident. The idea that this will ultimately help the American industry is vital because it saves Trump time. But very few people are convinced that it will be so. Reuters-Pipsos poll this month showed that only 10% in total-and only 20% of Republicans-strongly agreed that duties would be good for US workers.

Something that brings us to the last reason why this game seems to be on unstable territory: what people are increasingly convinced is the short -term disadvantage.

The Post-Pisos poll has shown that about 7 out of 10 Americans expect that duties will increase the prices of the products they consume.

This is a real witch for a long -time promised Trump duty campaign. The question is increasingly intense as to whether and whether it is political capital and if the Republicans’ colleagues are willing to invest in it. Because it can be many.