How will Ukraine be if the Trump plan passes – maps

The peace proposal promoted by President Donald Trump’s government seeks to change the Crimea regime and “freeze the territorial lines of the front” in Ukraine.

The details of the Trump plan remain unclear, but Vice President Jay Di Vance’s statements about the freezing lines emphasize the possibility of a change in the territory of Ukraine.

Ukraine President Volodimir Zelenski has stated that his country’s constitution is clear: Crimea, which was illegally annexed by Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2014, is an integral part of Ukraine. However, Trump criticized Zelenski for his statements, arguing that his attitude makes it more difficult to end the war, which began with the Russian invasion on 24 February 2022.

Talks on ending the war in Ukraine have come to an end, as Trump is increasingly frustrated, blaming Zelenski for failing to accept the US peacekeeping plan. However, the proposal to recognize Russian domination in Crimea de Jure, coupled with Vance’s statements, is stepping up the concerns that any agreement will overwhelm Putin and leave Ukraine vulnerable to a future attack.

What does the Trump proposal include

The Trump government has warned that it will leave the process if Moscow and Kiev do not reach an agreement soon. After weeks of separate negotiations with both sides, the United States proposed an agreement that Moscow seems to have accepted, but Kiev has rejected.

The proposal includes multiple aspects, including the non -integration of Ukraine into NATO and the relaxation of sanctions against Russia. The focal point is the US intent to recognize Crimea as Russia -controlled.

However, Zelenski said Ukraine would not legally recognize the Occupation of Crimea.

Trump’s statements, according to which Ukraine is not asked to recognize Crimea as Russian, suggest that the US is open to an arrangement that will not require a change in the Ukrainian constitution, though Russia may not accept it.

At the same time, Vice President Vance, who has stated that both sides should grant some of the territories they control in order to achieve peace, said the United States had submitted a very clear proposal to which they should respond. He even implied that the agreement would include a “freeze” of the conflict along the existing control lines.

However, this would be a heavier price for Ukraine, as Kiev seeks to recover all territories to the east and south of Russia from 2014 onwards, including Crimea, but also after the invasion of 2022.

Russia claims to have attached four other Ukrainian regions, Donetsk, Luhank, Hersona and Zaporizia, although it does not fully control them.

Yuri Boyescco, founder and chief executive of the Hope for Ukraine organization, who offers help to people near the front line, told Newsweek that 1 million Ukrainians live in areas proposed to acquire a Russian regime, which would not want to be a Russian regime.

Olga, a whole, program director for Europe and Central Asia at the International Crisis Group, also said that the agreement that Russia and the US seemed to have shaped, a ceasefire rather than a final peace deal, could prevent Russia from trying to do so. The same had happened after 2014, during the pauses before the 2022 invasion.

However, as Olga noted, by nature a ceasefire means that each side will retain control of the territories it holds at the time of its implementation, with possible future exchanges to ensure defense stability.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Wednesday that the basic Russian prerequisite for ending hostilities is the departure of Ukraine from all the territories claimed by Russia.

“It is not clear that the agreement is committed to anyone,” the whole said. “And of course, if the Ukrainians reject it, they are not committed to anything.”

What do the protagonists say

US Vice President Jay Di Vance said that “current lines or somewhere near them are, after all, where the new lines will be drawn in the conflict.”
For his part, Yuri Boyesco, founder and chief executive of the Hope for Ukraine organization warned that “Ukrainians who do not want to live under Russian sovereignty should be self-exiled, leaving room for the Russians to understand their homes and businesses.”

Maps are from Institute for The Study of War

The Trump proposal and the EU and Ukraine oppositions

Reuters released details of the agreement between Russia and Ukraine proposed by the US and seeking to achieve US President Donald Trump. The Ukrainians’ oppositions with their European allies were also released.

The proposal is described as “the final by the United States”.

In detail the terms:

– permanent ceasefire of fire

– Both sides immediately participate in negotiations for the implementation of the agreement

– Provide Ukraine strong security guarantees

– Guaranteed countries will be an ad hoc group of European states and willing non -European states

– Ukraine will not seek to join NATO

– Ukraine can seek to join the EU

– US provides de jure recognition of Crimean Russian control

– US provides de facto recognition of Luhansk’s Russian control

– The US provides de facto recognition of Russian controlled parts of Zaporizia, Donetsk and Peninsula

– Ukraine recovers territories in Harkov Region

– Ukraine regains control of the Zaporizia nuclear power plant through the control and management of the US station, with electricity distributed on both sides, as well as the Kahovka dam.

– Ukraine enjoys the unhindered crossing on the river Dipro and the control of the Kinbourn Peninsula.

– The United States and Ukraine will implement an Economic Cooperation/Mineral Agreement

– Ukraine will be fully rebuilt and compensated financially

– sanctions in Russia resulting from this conflict from 2014 will be removed

– US-Russia Economic Cooperation in Energy and Other Industrial Sectors.

Ukrainians and Europeans submitted

Reuters also published details of another document available and contains the objections to an agreement submitted by Ukrainian and European officials.

In detail the oppositions:

– commitment to complete and unconditional ceasefire in heaven, land and sea

– Both sides to start negotiations on the technical implementation of the agreement with the participation of the US and European countries. This is done in parallel with the preparation of the agenda and the details of a complete peace deal

– Monitoring the ceasefire, led by the US and supporting third -country nationals.

– Russia must return unconditionally all the deported and illegally displaced Ukrainian children

– Exchange of all prisoners of war

– Russia must release all civilians

– Ukraine receives strong security guarantees, including from the US (Agreement such as Article 5), and there is no consensus between allies on NATO integration

– no restriction on Ukrainian defense forces

– Guaranteed countries will be an ad hoc group of European countries and willing non -European countries. No restriction on the presence, weapons and businesses of friendly foreign powers on the territory of Ukraine

– Ukraine will seek to join the EU

– Territorial issues will be discussed and resolved after complete and unconditional ceasefire

– territorial negotiations start from the base of the control line

– Ukraine regains control of the Zaporizia nuclear power plant with the participation of the US as well as the Kahovka Dam.

– Ukraine will enjoy unhindered passes on the river Dinpro and control of the Kinbourn Peninsula.

– US and Ukraine apply an Economic Cooperation/Mineral Agreement

– Ukraine will be fully rebuilt and compensated financially, including through Russian state assets that will remain committed until Russia compensates Ukraine for the damage it caused to her.

– Sanctions imposed by the US in Russia since 2014 may gradually relax after sustainable peace and be repeated in the event of a violation of the peace agreement.