Last week, the US Foreign Ministry published an article asking ‘Cultural’ Allies in Europe. According to Maga Rhetoric (Make America Great Again – “Make America Great again”), attacked governments of the region, the rule of law and the regulation for Big Tech in her name “Democracy and Western heritage”. While this appeal failed to overturn the balance of power in the recent elections from Canada to Germany, seems to have been heard loudly and clearly in Poland, where the presidential victory of the nationalist Carol Navrotsky sends a wider warning to a geopolitical pressured continent.
It is now increasingly clear that the stupid attacks on the old certainties and dependencies of the transatlantic relationship do not create an equal and opposite reaction. Polarization on issues such as immigration, abortions and Europe were obvious in victory, with 51% against 49%, of the boxer Navrotsky, a kind of anti -systemic right -wing candidate, which Donald Trump supported as necessary for military support. Navrotsky wore his universal values ​​in his sleeve, attacked the Brussels Green Agreement and opposed Ukraine’s accession to NATO. Combined with the collapse of bipartisan domination in Portugal that lasted for half a century, the recent central victory in Romania begins to look more like with the end of a voltage rather than with the beginning.
What will happen next? The rhetoric of Navrotsky’s pre -election campaign against the “Monopoly of Bad Power” by Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk indicates more divided, paralyzed policy In the face of the fastest growing economy of the European Union and its largest army. The role of the president is largely etiquette, but has veto legislative rights, which will probably tie the Tusk coalition government to knots in view of the new parliamentary elections in 2027. The impact of institutional blockages have been evident since Tusk assumed his duties in 2023, with outgoing President Andrei Dundas limiting efforts to extensive reforms after years of conservative governance. Reform plans were the key to restoring EU financial support.
And according to a world after the pandemic, where the growing debt and expenses cannot be held on both sides of the Atlantic, Poland’s prospects are now more pessimistic than financial markets. Zloti fell about half a percent against the euro, and yields of Poland’s international bonds increased in transactions early Monday. Even without the reins of the government, Navrotsky openly opposed tax increases during his election campaign and pledged to block them. With parliamentary elections just a few years away, there will also be less appetite for budget limiting. The banking sector can be regarded as an enticing target for future taxes, according to analysts.
The message to capitals such as Brussels, Berlin and Paris – which recently signed a defensive condition with Warsaw – should be to be Do not rest in their political laurels, as Poland probably adopts a more skeptical attitude towards Ukraine. Even in the midst of a trade war, politicians inspired by the MAGA movement have high rates, with the far -right AfD leading national polls in Germany and the National Coalition expected to win the first round of the 2027 presidential election, whatever its leader. In addition to the frustration with the active leaders and third -road policies that combine social liberalism with fiscal conservatism, a genealogical shift is underway, with new voters being increasingly being lured by politicians against the unobtrusive, unobtrusive, In Poland, the first round of the presidential election saw the 38 -year -old candidate against abortions Slavomir Mentzen emerge first among voters under 40.
And just like Maga, which becomes a pole of attraction accusing foreigners while promising a “regeneration of manufacturing”, the economic geography of populism in Europe still matters. Poland’s post-communist transformation was excellent as it financially covered the gap with the West, followed by its own foreign policy only 20 years after its accession to the EU. However, the well-known bourgeoisie gap appeared in these elections, just as in Portugal. Revenge the “places that don’t matter” is increasingly noticeable. There is no magic wand to repel the twin pressures of Russia’s Russia and Putin, But time is running out for European leaders to perceive why voters They hear the song of the Maga Sirens and take action.
Source :Skai
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