Stefanos Nikolaidis
The question of territorial concessions is at the center of the negotiation carried out with the background of the peace After nearly a four -year war and heavy blood tax between Russia and Ukraine.
THE Vladimir Putin seems to ask the negotiations what he failed to win in battlefields. The Russian president reportedly proposed to the Donald Trump to ‘frozen» line of foreheadprovided that the Volodimir Zelenski will hand over to Moscow him complete control of Donbas.
The proposal does not stop there: also includes the preservation of Russian control to Zaporizia, Peninsula and of course Crimea – areas where the Moscow considers non -negotiable.
The stakes to Donbas is particularly high: the Russia already checks the 19% her Ukraine and seeks to reach approximately to the 24%. OR key area lies in upper part of Donetskwith 4 cities-power (Sloviansk, Drukucca, Kramatorsk, Costsmiths) and strong defensive lines of 51 km long. There they gather Industrial Facilities, Administrative Centers and strategic roads.
In return, the Putin allegedly willing to return small zones to Summy Regions and Kharkovmovement showing negotiating tactics but also clear targeting: to obtain without further bloodshed the fortified section her eastern Ukraine.
In this context, two top analystsProfessor of International Law and ND MP, Angel Syrigosand the Director of the Institute of International Affairs and Professor at the American College of Greece, Constantine Filisspeak to skai.gr and decoding with purity and depth its essence crisisfocusing on concession scenariosto security guaranteesas well as the geopolitical extensions.
Syrigus: A new treaty produces a new status, even if today’s claims are considered illegal
Angel Syrigos sees in Putin’s handling “artistic diplomatic movement” As he explains, the initial discussion rotated around the If Russia would return conquered territories. But the Russian president, “conveyed the focus on how Ukraine will grant additional territories“, Winning position advantage.
‘Moscow has the’upper hand“And he knows it. To tell you differently. It’s like a cowboy that enters the saloon and has one Full of Excellent. And others do not have arms and the cowboy He knows that others have no weapons. Are in position of power And he negotiates it from such a position. That is, I will pull it off, ”, as he points out.
“The proposal to” freeze “the front in exchange for Donbas is not just a basis for discussion, but a diplomatic maneuvering that creates new negotiations. After all, an international treaty, once signed, produces a new legal status – even if today’s claims are considered illegal. “
At the same time, he describes as’indifferent»Whether Ukraine Constitution blocked concession without referendum. “Tell me a Constitution that provides for territories. Okay, these are self -evident. And at Parliament ours says the constitution that for issues of national sovereignty need majority of 180 votes. There is no Constitution to say “Yes, we give territories” »
Mr. Syrigos also refers to the parameter of security guaranteesbut also to risk or Ukraine to be found gossip and under constant Russian pressurewith consequences for overall stability her Europe.
“I tell you that Russia has an appetite to pull it. Rubio said something very right. It is said, a minced meat the war. Just Russia has more meat to throw in“, He points out to add by saying:
“Here is the question for me. Russia does not want Ukraine to enter NATO with anything. Exactly so that Article 5 is not implemented. Why accept a Article 5, which will get it out of the window? Putin still does not accept it. Let’s be a little realistic and understand something. This war is a war between brothers and first cousin. The Russians with the Ukrainians are brothers and first cousins. It is a European Civil War, with America involved as a European colony. “
Filis: Zelenski is between evil and the worst
On his part, the Constantine Filishe considers realistic the possibility or Ukraine to accept concessioneven under the pressure of USA.
“If the lure includes security guarantees that to make the Next day betterthen could be done“, Noting, stressing that at this stage”the soil concessions is of the ukh no for one definitive solution“
However, these concessions, according to Mr Filis, presuppose strong guarantees against her Russia – something that the Americansfor the time being, they do not seem willing to offer.
Recalls that the Ukrainian constitution to prohibit the concession of territories without a referendumbut he considers that ‘formulas can be found»If there is political will. “Imagine everything has been agreed and Ukraine through the Ukrainians say no to the agreement. This would cause chain reactions and definitely Trump’s rage“, He notes.
He himself points out risk or Russian rights populations to be tool for future claims in other former Soviet democracies.
‘Russia has a view as it manifests in Agriculture the 2008to Ukraine the 2014 and then 2022but also in Kazakhstan that exists Russian -speaking minoritythat he must defend the rights of the Russian -speaking or Russian or Russian across the former Soviet Union. “
“That is, in agriculture in 2008 it had offered them Russian passports. Thus, when the Georgians were attacked, – the banana fan, then Sakasville the president of Georgia – the Russians intervened to defend Russian citizens. Although they were Georgians, they had Russian passports, so they were Russian citizens. I give you an example to understand how the issue of entities, communities and minorities often works. “
At the same time, Mr. Filis thinks that one territory exchange agreement is determined according to the guarantees and commitments that will be taken over. Remains, however, cautious as to whether the Russia will stop manifesting reviewing aspirations.
According to him, the Zelenski lies between ”bad and worse», With her prolongation of war to do not favor her Ukraineespecially if US support is reduced and the weight falls exclusively to Europeans. “Russia wins on the Ukrainian front but loses on other fronts across the globe“, He concludes.
Real Peace or New War Irene?
OR Ukrainian crisis has entered a phase where the discussion no longer concerns only the cessation of hostilitiesbut the Europe’s security architecture.
The territorial issues make up the hard corewhile they are knitted around legal, policies and geopolitical parameters.
Either the one agreement was perceived as win either as compromisethe substance remains: the result will determine if the Old Epirus will live a real peace or just a rest before next war.
Source :Skai
With a wealth of experience honed over 4+ years in journalism, I bring a seasoned voice to the world of news. Currently, I work as a freelance writer and editor, always seeking new opportunities to tell compelling stories in the field of world news.
