The US president Donald Trump has repeatedly stated that he will punish the Russia and the president Vladimir Putin If Moscow does not sit on the negotiating table and does not agree on peace talks or ceasefire with the Ukraine. Russia, however, as CNBC notes, has not shown any sign that it intends to do so, but instead continues and intensifies its attacks on Ukraine, as it seeks to consolidate its profits on the fronts.

And yet, Trump does not impose a large package of sanctions that could harm the already weakened economic Russia. The reason for stagnation is a strategic, according to analysts, who warn that the more Trump is delayed, the more he undermines his own position and the US.

“The Russian budget is under great pressure … so if more significant sanctions are targeted that will target Russia’s oil trade, which they have discussed in the US but have not done, this would have even more pressure on the budget. But that hasn’t happened, “Chris Weafer, chief executive of Macro-Advisory based in Moscow, told CNBC.

There are two important factors behind Trump’s cautiousness, Weafer added: the president’s desire to be regarded as a peacemaker and the concerns that he will push Russia deeper into China’s orbit.

“Trump still believes that he can bring both sides to the negotiating table, that he can mediate to reach a peace agreement and that he can get the credit for promoting peace. And given that the announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize will take place in early October, this plays its role because we know its character, “Weafer noted.

“The second reason … is that there is a sense that if Russia is defeated, if Moscow is completely isolated from the West and there is no way of returning to cooperation with the US and Europe, then it will have no choice but to go even further in a total partnership with China, which may be reinforced by China.”

The approach between Moscow and Beijing would mean that China would have “almost unlimited” access to energy resources, industrial materials and the Arctic, the analyst said, noting that this could “cut” the US from Arctic -controlled areas controlled by Russia.

It would also allow China more access to Russian military technology, such as Stealth underwater, and more opportunities in space exploration.

In the meantime, Ukraine is watching Trump let the deadlines he has imposed on to take action against Russia, with Kiev being frustrated by the missed opportunities for Putin to be pressured to conclude a truce.

“The Ukrainians hoped that Trump’s deadline to Putin on August 8th to accept the ceasefire would ensure more stable air defense,” said John Herbst, a former US ambassador to Ukraine. However, they were disappointed when Trump let Putin violate the August 8th deadline for ending hostilities without consequences. “Instead, Trump focused on the summit with Putin, who has not yet produced flexibility on the Russian side,” Herbst added. “Now they tighten their teeth and, along with many of their European partners, are waiting for White House officials to realize that Russia is playing with them and take the harsh measures promised by Trump if Russia continues its war in Ukraine.”

Strengthened China -Russia – India links

Leaders of Beijing and Moscow promoted their climate of friendship during the 25th summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) on Monday. The SCO meeting is attended by 20 foreign leaders, including Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Monty.

Against the backdrop of war in Ukraine, Trump’s duties and oil duty, China, Russia and India have deepened their economic and political ties, while their respective relations with the West have worn.

Chinese President Xi Jinping urged Monday’s counterparts leaders who participated in the Summit to strengthen their cooperation and called on them to reject what he called “Cold War mentality”.

In the meantime, Putin told SCO that his meeting with Trump in August paved the way for a solution to the Ukrainian “crisis”, as he described the war that lasts more than three years. However, he thanked the Asian allies of Russia for their support throughout the war. “We appreciate the efforts and proposals of China, India and other strategic partners to resolve the crisis in Ukraine. The mutual understanding achieved at the recent Russia-US Summit in Alaska is moving in the same direction. I hope it will pave the way for peace in Ukraine, “Putin said.

Summarys such as SCO create a new political and socio -economic ecosystem that could replace the “outdated” Euro -Atlantic model of power, the Russian president still argued. This new system “will take into account the interests of the maximum number of countries and will be truly balanced”, that is, “a system in which a group of countries will not secure its safety at the expense of others,” Putin said.