While the Ukrainian principles declare that with a massive influx of weapons and new technologiescould be achieved one Great Attack on Territory Rechandrationanalysts do not see this happen.

OR Impressive statement by US President Donald Trump that Ukraine could recover all its territories with the support of the European Union and NATO It is rather exaggerated unless there is a dramatic change in the alliance’s reaction to its invasion Russiaaccording to military experts, officials and diplomats working in the area.

Nevertheless, to reinforced in the future the Ukrainian side cannot be completely blocked as a scenario. In particular, if the Russian war economy “drains” and Ukraine significantly strengthens its army and weapons stocks with the support of its partners, including the United States. At present, however, it seems unlikely, as Trump is only words and It shifts support to Kiev in Europe.

Statements of foreign leaders

“President Trump said Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, could regain its entire territory,” Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk posted on x on Thursday. “Behind this stunning optimism lies a promise of reduced US participation and shifts responsibility for the end of the war in Europe. Better the truth than the illusions“

If Washington agreed to fully support Ukraine by sending advanced weapons, including bombs and new weapons systems such as Himars and Atacms, then Trump’s statement is completely true, a senior Ukrainian military official saidon condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the press.

Mass weapons missions would immediately raise the morale to improve recruitment and performance on the battlefield and offset the basic problems, such as lack of ammunition and tanks, paving the way for a rapid Ukrainian advance, he said.

“US partners are aware of our priorities. The list is on the table. If they could provide us with what we asked for, I believe that the result would be visible even by the end of the yearAs, “the official said.

Skepticism and military reality

European officials remain skeptical of the importance of the last turn of the US president, while NATO officials and diplomats have given a pessimistic assessment in recent months for Kiev’s ability to recapture significant territories.

Although Ukraine’s huge drones industry and recent US -funded weapons agreement have given its strength more time than expected on the front, a major attack would be extremely difficult. Without a major change in diplomacy or weapons, most officials predict that the bloody war will continue.

The plethora of drones and their recent technological improvements mean that it will be difficult, if not impossible, for any side to make sudden advances, especially as winter approaches and disappears from trees.

In the meantime, Russia is still making small local advances in several areas, even as Ukraine regains territories in the East. These gradual moves are insignificant compared to Russia’s original advance in 2022, but show an advantage.

Military and Resources Problems

“Can be late“, He said NATO on the condition of anonymity. “But if you look at the amount of forces brought by Russia, the air and drone attacks, the dynamic is on the part of Russia“

Ukraine allies, however, do not expect a large collapse of Ukrainian defense lines, the official said, and “Help level can definitely change the dynamic“

The Kremlin, facing vigorous Ukrainian resistance, finds it difficult to even achieve the revised objectives of President Putin, such as the occupation of the four areas he claims to have annexed. NATO estimates that Russia could not fully control these areas, nor in the next three years at the current pace.

Aggressive operations usually require significantly more troops and cause great losses, a challenge that Ukraine would face if it has attempted to proceed and recapture territories. Weapon technology favors defender, said Anders Puck Nielsenofficer and military analyst at Danish Defense Academy. However, the Russia She may face future staff shortages if her economy is seriously damaged.

Personnel are also possible weakness for Ukraine. Some point out that even if its supporters fully meet the needs of money and weapons, Ukraine is facing a lack of military personnel, although Kiev says that the best support will motivate more to recruit.

Conclusion

Ukraine can recover all its territories by military means, but for this to happen, as in previous major wars, its opponent will have to exhaust its financial resources.

Although Trump’s rhetoric has changed, there is no real change in the US position, and the White House still carries the burden of war to Europe.

The Russian military force remains strong and the Russians acknowledge that they cannot make sudden progresses through unpaid territory. The only strategy of success is to continue to exert pressure and gradually wear out Ukrainian forces, while the flow of weapons, ammunition and money to Ukraine does not stop, the situation does not reach a turning point.