On Tuesday night, the US Senate was unable to approve a bill on costs that would maintain funding and, for the first time in almost seven years, Shutdown is a fact.

But at some point this shutdown – like all the previous ones – will end. It may take days, weeks, but in the end, as public pressure and political pain are increasing, one side or the other will recede.

Follow four scenarios According to the BBC how this could evolve.

Democrats quickly break down from their ranks

Senate Democrats rejected the Republican bill on spending that would keep the government in operation until November, but this vote may have limited the causes of their defeat.

While forty -four Democrats (and Republican Rand Paul) voted not, two Democrats and an independent, Democratic ally, were supported by the majority of Republicans.

Maine’s independent Angus King is almost always a wildcard. John Ferterman of Pennsylvania has also been drawing his own course for almost a year. But Katherine Cortez Masto from Nevada, though not a fanatical liberal, is not the formal political anti -conformist. He is, however, a candidate for re -election next year in a state won by Donald Trump in 2024, which has been tend to be the Republicans for years.

But she is not the only member of her party to be on the ballot in 2026 by a key state. Democrats in Georgia, Virginia and Colorado could also begin to feel the tension.

And while the current MPs from Minnesota, Michigan and New Humsire have chosen to retire rather than run for re -election, they may be concerned that a shutdown is at risk and control of democratic seats.

Republican leader in the Senate, John Thun, says he already sees some democrats who are anxious in the way Shutdown is evolving.

If five more Democrats leave their ranks, Shutdown will end – whether the rest of the democratic party wants it or not.

Democrats retreat

Even if the Democrats remain (relatively) united, the pressure exerted on them to abandon the struggle is likely to increase as shutdown continues.

Government officials are a key electorate in the party and will be the ones who will immediately feel the pain of payroll delays and the possibility that the Trump government will use Lockdown to further cut the programs and turn them into permanent unemployed.

The American public as a whole will also begin to feel the impact of government cuts and financial upheaval.

Usually, the party that triggers a shutdown and formulates political requirements – in this case, the Democrats – is what blames the public. If things evolve this way, the party can conclude that it has stressed as much as possible and reduce its losses.

Even without tangible profits, the Democrats have put in place the health subsidies of the end and the Republican -approved healthcare cuts for the poor, which will come into force for tens of millions of Americans in their coming months.

So when it begins, this game of responsibility, they could be in a better position to reap the political benefits.

Republicans make concessions

Right now, Republicans feel they are in a position of power – and are thinking of new ways to increase the pain that democrats feel. But they are likely to make the wrong calculations and end up being the ones who will experience the pain.

They were behind most shutdown in the past, and the public could consider them responsible this time. Perhaps it is out of habit or maybe because of their zeal to reduce government services and workers’ salaries, Republicans are exaggerating.

In this scenario, Republicans provide some kind of sufficient guarantee to the Democrats that they will help extend the health insurance subsidies.

It is not a completely unthinkable scenario, as Republicans are currently divided into whether these subsidies – which help their own low -income voters as well as democrats – should continue. This would be a concession that could, ultimately, reinforce their own electoral prospects and relieve an obvious line of attacking the Democrats in next year’s intermediate elections.

Republicans have stated that they will not negotiate, but it is likely that we will see some kind of compromise under their overly intense rhetoric.

Shutdown is extended (and both sides)

At the moment, excessive rhetoric and acidity are almost all that exists. Trump shares a ridiculous videos of his opponents, created by artificial intelligence. The Democrats responded with Trump-Estein photos and promised that they would continue this battle in the long run.

The latest Shutdown lasted 35 days, a record number, and it only ended after the US air travel problems began. And that was just a partial shutdown, as some government funding had been approved. This time, the consequences could be more serious.

If this continues for a long time, it may not matter who is “winning” by forcing the other side to retreat. Both sides will now have several responsibilities.

In such a scenario, the current MPs from both parties suffer the consequences on the ballot boxes and the public becomes even more unhappy with the situation.