The “secession” of eastern Ukraine and the imposition of an “autonomous regime” under the influence of Moscow was allegedly set by Vladimir Putin from the very beginning as his main goal, ordering his troops to invade Ukrainian territory. on February 24th. Nearly two months later, the Russian president’s intent is becoming clearer to international analysts, and Moscow is no longer hiding its plans, urging the West to recognize the autonomy of the regions it seems to control with its army and the annexation of Crimea and officially as part of Russian territory.
Maps depicting the movements and occupation of Ukrainian territory by Russian troops reinforce the scenario of the division of Ukraine. The control of Eastern Ukraine and the secession of Kiev from the Black Sea and the Sea of ​​Azovcombined with the absence of Western powers (NATO) from central and northern Ukrainemeans the weakening of the country and its dependence on the decisions of the Kremlin, which seeks to redefine the balances and balance of power in the wider region.
The data we have from the war in Ukraine show us that Putin wants to control the areas of Ukraine located on the border with Russia, creating a “security zone”, as they call it. It is a 480 km long front, starting from Kharkov and extending to Hersonissos and Mykolaifwhile in a next phase of military operations, the confinement of Odessa is not ruled out, in order to “exclude” any exit of Ukraine to the sea.
The map below shows the areas under Russian control after 56 days of war.
The goal is the occupation of Donbas
The Russian military administration no longer hides that its goal is the “liberation”, as they call it, of Donetsk and Lugansk (Donbass), along with the surrounding areas.
The movements of the Russian troops show just that. The movements start from the border with Russia, in the direction of the interior and the zone that they have set as a border in Moscow.
Little progress to the south
In contrast to the eastern provinces, Russian troops in the south appear to be moving at a slower pace, retaining the territories they have conquered so far and hitting strategic targets.
International analysts estimate that this is a preparation for another front, which will be fully activated when the conquest of Donbass is completed. In other words, Putin’s plan seems to include Odessa as the next “station” and not Kyiv, as Volodymyr Zelensky and his associates fear.
Mariupol is completely surrounded
Mariupol is a key city for Russian companies, as it is the largest port in the Azov Sea and connects Donbass with the southern and western regions.
According to all indications, the fall of Mariupol is a matter of time and will be achieved soon. In conjunction with the occupation of Melitopolis, the Russians fully control the corridor from Donbass to Crimea.
The terms for a peace agreement were sent by Moscow to Kyiv
A draft peace agreement was sent by Moscow in the Kyivaccording to the Kremlin spokesman, Dmitry Peshkov
According to Peshkov, the Russia submitted a draft with a peace plan to Ukraine “in clear language” and is waiting for an answer
“Right now, our document, which contains clear terms, has been delivered to the Ukrainian side. The ball is in their court. We are waiting for an answer “ said Peshkov characteristically.
NEW: Russia has submitted a draft peace document to Ukraine a “with clear language” and is waiting for a response, “the ball is on the side of Kyiv”, Peskov said.
– Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) April 20, 2022
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