Many analysts are ringing the alarm as Shutdown in the US threatens to turn the confrontation between Donald Trump’s democrats and Republicans into a prolonged crisis.

As the country enters the second week of federal services, many analysts have told AFP that the president and his opponents may find themselves in a long -term confrontation.

“It is likely that this interruption will take weeks, not only days,” said Andrew Koneschusky, a former spokesman for Senator Chuck Sumer, the leader of the Democrats at the heart of the last impasse.

“At the moment, both sides are fortified and there is almost no room for compromise,” he noted.

At the heart of the controversy is the Democratic demand for the extension of the health benefits they are going to expire, which means a sharp increase in costs for millions of low -income Americans.

On Sunday, Trump accused the Democrats of blocking his proposal for funding, which needed some of their votes.

“They cause it. We are ready to return, “Trump told reporters at the White House.

Trump also told reporters on Sunday that his government has already begun to fired permanently – and not just to make federal employees, again accusing his opponents of “losing many jobs”.

In March, when the threat of a closure appeared for the last time, the Democrats first succumbed, voting for the Republican proposal to keep the government in operation for a semester.

However, Sumer has been criticized by the party’s base and is reluctant to retreat this time, facing possible challenges from the left -wing Democratic wing in the qualifiers.

At the moment, Senate Republicans are based on the fact that their democratic opponents will retreat as they insist on repeatedly promoting votes.

“I could see a temporary agreement between the two parties by the end of October,” said Jeff Le, a former California official, who negotiated with the first Trump government.

“Anything beyond the two months would interrupt government functions and could affect national and internal security,” he said.

A change in the strategy will probably depend on whether one or the other realizes that public opinion is turning against it, analysts at AFP said.

So far, the results of the polls are mixed, although Republicans are receiving overall more criticism than democrats

Trump was president of the longest -running shutdown in history in 2018 and 2019, when federal services stopped operating for five weeks.

This time, the president has increased the pressure by threatening with massive redundancies of public sector workers.

Warn of the greatest shutdown in the story

James Drakman, a professor of politics at the University of Rochester, considers Trump’s intolerance as a reason to believe that this confrontation could surpass the 2019 record.

“The Trump government believes it has unlimited power and therefore generally does not compromise,” he told AFP.

“The Democrats have been criticized for not resisting enough vigorously the last time and this did not have a positive effect for them. Therefore, from a political point of view, they tend to remain irrelevant, “he added.

The 2018-2019 shutdown cost $ 11 billion in the economy in the short term, according to Congress’s non-party budget, and $ 3 billion was never recovered.

Catastrophic consequences for GDP

US Finance Minister Scott Besed warned that the latest shutdown could have devastating consequences for GDP growth.

For financial analyst Michael Ashley Schulman, based in California, the financial consequences of the stoppage may be the ones that will eventually force politicians to reconcile.

“If Wall Street is panicked and the yields of public bonds are launching, even the ideologically tougher will suddenly discover a deep commitment to bilateral solutions,” he said.

But not all analysts are pessimistic about the prospects for a quick solution.

Aaron Cutler, head of Congress’s surveillance and investigations at the Hogan Lovells International Law Office and a former member of the House staff, estimates that the shutdown will last for a maximum of 12 days.

“The Democrats will retreat first. While the shutdown continues, there will be no hearings in Congress and many work on the services will be paused, “he said.

“This is a victory for many Democrats in Congress, but they do not want to be responsible for it,” he said.