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The new political landscape in France: The three blocs – The phobic vote and its significance

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By Antonis Anzoletos

The analysts in France argue that the Emanuel Macron succeeded one personal victory on Sunday night. His personality did not leave much room for reaction to Marin Lepen and finally won me over 17 points difference. Refuting even the most optimistic polls. It is a fact that not a few people went with a “cold heart” to renew France’s confidence in President Macron just to not give the keys of the country to a far-right party. France comes out divided from this electoral contest in three blocks: Her hard rightτης radical leftbut also his Macron which has centric features.

Millions of voters the day before yesterday chose the “non-manual” or did not go to the polls. The majority of those from “Unruly France” by Melansonbut also many undecided, after first throwing Lepen’s ballot in the trash then closing their eyes and throwing what was left in the ballot box. Does the phobic vote reduce the size of his victory? There are two different readings. On the one hand, the recognition of the strategy with which he succeeded in dissolving socialists and center-rightists by putting in front of him a party that the people at the end of the day refuse to bring to power. On the contrary, his failure to speak to the poor and to solve chronic problems. This weakness led to Marin Le Pen gaining more than two million extra votes compared to 2017. Le Monde noted the “near-record” abstention and the fact that the “far right” broke the barrier of 40% of the vote for the first time “.

It is indicative the qualitative elements of the ballot box according to which the business executives voted 78% for Macronwhile working class at 68% in Lepen. He was described as the president of the “elites” by his opponents and he tried to take this title away from him. He clearly made a more aggressive campaign in the second round and managed to get ahead. And finally it anti-Lepen wave proved to be stronger than the anti-Macron Heartbeat, but with it the whole of Europe. She finally helped Macron as well the versatility of his party unlike Lepen whose tanks are not rich and the vote she can collect has specific geographical features. To nail him, Melanson pointed out that he was elected president, recording one of the lowest percentages. Nevertheless, after François Mitterrand and Jean Chirac, history wrote that is the third re-elected President of the 5th French Republic. Or the first after the financial crisis of 2008. Mitterrand is reminded that he had to live with the center-right and Chirac with the socialists. Traditionally, the French, when giving a second chance to their presidents, then took the majority in the National Assembly. Those before 2002 when the term was seven years.

The possibility of Macron “living together” exists. His political opponents are waiting for him in the corner first for the issues of everyday life. The “Yellow Vests” are considered a matter of time to take to the streets again causing a suffocating atmosphere for “En Marche!”. And to the question of whether Macron’s party is ready to meet this great challenge, the answer is easy: No. It was founded before the 2017 elections and his presidential duties absorbed him so much that he failed to establish ties with society, nor a credible mechanism. A meeting of Macron’s party politicians was held Monday night to consider their next steps. They know that his political opponents are waiting for him in the corner and causing a climate of unrest, the possibility that on June 12 he will manage to get the majority of the National Assembly (289 votes) is extremely doubtful.

The right and left wings they are looking to find alliances, but discussions are still at an early stage. Lepen with him Zemour There are many things that separate them, but mainly the fact that the president of “National Alarm” managed due to the head of “Reconquete” to appear much more modest than in 2017. The possibility that Communist Partyto keep up with the Ecologists and Melanson seems more realistic at the moment although in this case there are many issues that need to be addressed.

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