TIF’s new tax and income aid package for large categories of citizens that will apply from January 1, 2026, as well as the rent refund and paying an additional 250 euros to retirees announced earlier this year, will be incorporated into the new budget of the new budget.
The Draft budget of 2026 It will send the message that the economic policy of next year will serve a double objective: on the one hand to maintain high growth rates, on the other hand, the achievement of strong fiscal performance that ensures primary surpluses that are used to gradually reduce public debt and social debt.
Thus, according to reports, the draft of the new budget will provide that the Greek economy will grow at a rate of 2.4% in 2026. It is a higher performance than this year where the GDP growth rate is expected at 2.2%. Private consumption will have a significant contribution to GDP rise in 2026 with a projected increase of 1.7%. Investments are projected to increase a dynamic increase of 10.2%, which is also related to the acceleration of the implementation of the recovery fund projects.
Exports are expected to increase 4.5% while imports are expected to increase at almost the same rate (4.6%). THE inflation It is projected to move to 2.2% while unemployment is projected to decline to 7.4% against 7.8% this year.
The prediction for the primary surplus in 2026 will be 2.4% of GDP powered by the high growth rate that produce income and from tax evasion restriction measures that bring to the surface of taxable material. However, it should be noted that in both 2024 and this year, the primary outcome of the budget significantly exceeded the original objective. Last year, 4.8% of GDP reached 3.5% of GDP this year. This creates well -founded expectations that in 2026 may be another year with exceeding the target for primary surplus with what this means for the budgetary margins of new social interventions.
The growth rates of the economy, coupled with the additional revenue from tax evasion and the amount of primary surplus, form the fiscal space that can be exploited each year for social policy and strengthening vulnerable interventions. That is why the performance on these fronts are higher than this year’s initial targets, the road for new support measures will be paved next spring when the estimates of fiscal sizes and GDP in 2025 will be locked.
Source: Skai
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