(News Bulletin 247) – According to forecasts published in April by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), growth in the world economy is expected to slow from 3.4% in 2022 to 2.8% this year, before slowing down. set at 3% in 2024, according to its reference scenario.

Advanced countries should experience a particularly marked slowdown, with a growth rate falling from 2.7% in 2022 to 1.3% in 2023, while emerging and developing countries should see theirs fall from 4% to 3, 9%.

In more detail, this year, the IMF anticipates GDP growth of 1.6% in the United States, 0.8% in the euro zone (including -0.1% for Germany and 0.7% for France), -0.3% in the United Kingdom, 5.2% in China and 5.9% in India.

In another plausible IMF scenario with an amplification of tensions in the financial sector, global growth would fall to around 2.5% in 2023 and that of advanced countries would drop below 1%.

In the baseline scenario, global headline inflation would fall from 8.7% in 2022 to 7% in 2023, but core inflation is expected to decline more slowly. In most countries, inflation is not expected to return to its target level before 2025.

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