Paris (Reuters) – The main European scholarships are expected to increase on Monday at the opening, investors preparing for one week in charge of indicators and commercial negotiations.
According to the first indications available, the Parisian CAC 40 could gain 0.37% at the opening.
The term contracts report an increase of 0.61% for the Dax in Frankfurt, 0.02% for the FTSE in London and 0.47% for the Stoxx 600.
Investors start on Monday a week in charge of indicators and are getting closer to the July 9 deadline set by Donald Trump to conclude customs agreements with the United States, although the American president said on Friday that agreements could be signed later.
After PMIs in China translating a contraction in the activity of the manufacturing sector for the third consecutive month in June, analysts await several indicators in Europe on Monday, such as preliminary inflation in Germany for June while retail sales in the country have dropped unexpectedly in May over a month.
Investors will scan this week in particular the US employment data on Thursday in order to refine their anticipations of decreasing rates of the American Federal Reserve (Fed).
Donald Trump launched a new salvo of criticism against the President of the American Central Bank on Friday, Jerome Powell, explaining that he wants the Fed to drop its rates by 1% and to resign him.
“With an economy that is starting to run out of steam and financial pressures wherever we look at, it is really not surprising that Trump is so wanting to place interest rates under the control of the executive,” recall Rabobank economists in a note on Monday.
The American president should also be occupied on the commercial front this week, Canada having for example canceled his tax on digital services (TSN) in order to advance commercial negotiations with the United States.
The values ​​to follow: [L8N3SU0ZQ]
A Wall Street
The New York Stock Exchange ended up on Friday, with a new closing record for the S & P-500 and the NASDAQ to the key, against the backdrop of optimism around the next trade agreements and hope for lowering the rates of the Fed after reassuring inflation figures.
The Dow Jones index won 1.00%, or 432.43 points, at 43,819.27 points.
The larger Standard & Poor’s 500 took 32.05 points, or 0.52%, to 6,173.07 points.
The Nasdaq Composite advanced on its side of 105.55 points, or 0.52%, to 20,273.459 points.
At the values, Nike jumped more than 15% after the sports supplier said he expected a lower than expected drop in turnover in the first quarter.
In Asia
The Tokyo Stock Exchange takes 0.69%, close to its highest level in 11 months, investors regaining appetite for risky assets with the hope of a de -escalation of trade tensions and a decrease in Fed rates.
In China, the clues evolve in dispersed order after mixed data on industrial production in June.
The Hong Kong Hang Seng index declines by 0.39%, the SSE Composite of Shanghai is reinforced by 0.42%, the CSI 300 scored an increase of 0.19%.
RATE
American yields are rather stable before data essential to the determination of the monetary policy expected during the week.
Treasury’s yield at ten years declines from 0.4 pb to 4.2788%, while the two -year title yield increased from 0.2 pb to 3.7418%.
The yield of the German ten years fell from 1.4 pb to 2.583%, that of the rate at two years loses 1 bp to 1.854%.
Changes
The dollar is evolving close to its lowest level against the euro on Monday as investors refine their forecasts for lowering the rates of the American federal reserve.
The dollar fell 0.3% against a basket of reference currencies, the euro rises from 0.05% to 1.1725 dollars, and the pound sterling firms from 0.07% to 1.3724 dollars.
In Asia, the yen fell 0.5% to 143.93 yen for a dollar, the Australian dollar rises from 0.25% to 0.6546 dollars.
OIL
Oil prices are rather down Monday against the backdrop of de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East and forecasts of increase in OPEC+ production in August.
The Brent is stable at 67.77 Dollars per barrel, the light American crude (West Texas Intermediate, WTI) weakens 0.14% to 65.43 dollars.
Main economic indicators at the agenda on Monday June 30:
Pays GMT indicator previous consensus period
EZ 8:00 am business credit May 4% 3.9%
From 12:00 pm Preliminary inflation June 2.2% 2.1%
(Written by Bertrand de Meyer, edited by Augustin Turpin)
Copyright © 2025 Thomson Reuters
I have over 8 years of experience working in the news industry. I have worked as a reporter, editor, and now managing editor at 247 News Agency. I am responsible for the day-to-day operations of the news website and overseeing all of the content that is published. I also write a column for the website, covering mostly market news.
